| Username | Pathis |
| Real Name | |
| Rank | Novice Member |
| Joined | May 12, 2008 |
| Gender | Male |
| Age | 30 |
| Location | Ponce, Puerto Rico |
| Last Visit | August 30, 2008 |
| Post Count | 4 |
| Biography | |
| Quote |
Originally posted by openedge1
Now, subtract 4 million right off the bat for WoW (actual quoted numbers)
If the numbers are North America only then WoW only has 2.5 million of those 11 million. In Europe they have 2 million and Asia the rest.
I would rather take the NPD's word on the issue over MMOGChart. No offense to mmogchart but it's very clear that NPD has the resources and industry respect to get a clearer answer. MMOGChart is mostly educated guesses.
Right now the NPD has LOTRO as #3 under Runescape and above FFXI. Press releases (the same info MMOGCHART uses) has FFXI at 500k subs and Runescape at slightly above 1M subs. MMOGCHART has LOTRO at 150k subs. Something doesn't match.
Now it's still all guesses on our part because unless you purchase the report you can't get exact numbers. So we will have to wait until that number is released to see if it is closer to FFXI or closer to Runescape. I'm still guessing it's a bit higher than 500k subs but it would be nice if we were pleasantly surprised.
So I think the naysayers are kind of off on their numbers. I would guess the game has closer to 400K then to 100K subscribers.
Well if it is beating FFXI then it probably has over 500k subs. I'm guessing not by much, probably in the 550-650k range unless it somehow took off in Japan (I'm only familiar with US/Europe populations). It's definitely not near the Runescape 1-1.2 Million range. They would have milked that publicity if it was.
Then again, they are aggressively targeting the Asian market so maybe we could see that number before the year is up.
Definitely the answer to the original question is LOTRO. Turbine did a great job. Smooth launch and still going strong. With Mines of Moria it will grow even more. It's not the mega hit that WoW is and will continue to be but LOTRO is definitely more than just a niche product.
As for what will come next, it's hard to say. I think AoC will do ok but I think the next title that could represent solidly might be Warhammer. If either of those fail then we'll probably have to wait until the mega projects of Bethesda, Blizzard, Bioware, or even 38 Studios.