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The Pub at MMORPG.COM  » My 5 predictions of 2014

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74 posts found
  Dragviper

Novice Member

Joined: 1/23/10
Posts: 97

12/22/13 12:54:41 PM#21

My predictions are...

Alien invasion, slavery of humankind, video games turns real. Oh yes and Venezuelans will still believe everything is great in socialism...

http://www.webestools.com/page/images/uploads/signature_seoeblWtso6141.png

  Raquis

Apprentice Member

Joined: 3/18/13
Posts: 303

12/22/13 12:56:24 PM#22

every thing souds ok but heart stone?

whats wrong with you

  Ridelynn

Elite Member

Joined: 12/19/10
Posts: 3325

12/22/13 1:17:47 PM#23

I'll throw mine into the lot:

1) ESO does moderately well. A lot of buzz and hype initially dies off to a small but sustainable crowd by year's end. It's no Skyrim, but it does ok enough on it's own.

2) Hearthstone gets a cult-like following, but nothing near SC2 or LoL. Blizzard uses tie-ins to attempt to keep WoW subscriptions up, while it's no where near becoming insignificant, they continue to dwindle at a steady pace.

3) EQL hits beta, and releases "officially" Fall 2014 with SoE's typical
"Free to Play your way" style fees. EQN remains nowhere to be seen, with beta invitations slated to go out in early 2015. EQL is Minecraft with fantasy graphics and EQ lore, and a few people who love playing with Legos really take to it, but everyone else is left waiting for EQN. In late 2014, someone redoes one of the original EQ1 zones in EQL and that creates a lot of buzz about a possible EQ1 reboot (again).

4) SteamOS and SteamBox come, and go. It does fairly well for Steam stuff, but lack of support for anything outside of a limited number of Steam titles, high price for console-like hardware, and no unique functionality that can't be performed by other, less expensive devices (i.e. streaming ala Shield) really tamper down on the excitement of Valve's latest project. The handheld controller is great, but it's not so great that it replaces any of the other great controllers. Everyone complains that it can't play Windows games (duh).

5) A dozen or so MMO's appear for the latest gen consoles. None of them gain a lot of traction - 2014 isn't the year of the console MMO, but it starts to pick up steam.

  Robokapp

Elite Member

Joined: 11/15/09
Posts: 4530

The only luck I had today was to have you as my opponent.

12/22/13 1:26:39 PM#24

My predictions for 2014...

 

1) F2P bubble bursts toward the end of the year.

2) Crowfunding bursts with Star Citizen.

3) P2P MMOs launch with smaller playerbases than previous titles. stabilize around 50% retention.

4) WoW stabilizes at 2mil western subs. Begins considering an extension to its F2P model up to level 70. For 2015.

5) EVE Online keeps growing like clockwork.

6) Non-PC e-sports games, particularly graphics un-intensive TCGs are the next big thing.

7) Fewer new mall indy MMOs are announced than 2012/213.

8) World of Darness and Project Titan are delayed further.

9) WoW Movie is launched creating the last great accumulation of nerds per square meter of our generation.

10) We start wondering if 2015 will be "More of the same".

 

  Distopia

Drifter

Joined: 11/22/05
Posts: 15376

"what a boring life, HATING everything" -Gorilla Biscuits

12/22/13 1:29:55 PM#25
My prediction: In 2014 those who can accept faults in games will be playing games, those who can't will be on forums raging about it.

For every minute you are angry , you lose 60 seconds of happiness."-Emerson

It is a sign of a defeated man, to attack at ones character in the face of logic and reason- Me

  Novusod

Novice Member

Joined: 5/30/09
Posts: 860

12/23/13 3:10:16 AM#26
I am going to make a bold prediction and say that WoW will actually be dethroned in 2014 by some sleeper hit coming out of China. The emergence of the Chinese gamer will be the biggest trend in 2014.  The Chinese MMO that changes everything won't even be released in the Western market until 2015. By then the real MMO scene with shift to Asia and the Western markets will be seen as an after thought.
  Dren_Utogi

Novice Member

Joined: 8/21/10
Posts: 1468

12/23/13 4:35:12 AM#27

1. Obama is assassinated
2. AHA is repelled
3. Key people from Turbine will resign, and crowd source "Asheron's Call Forever."
4. Avenger's 2 will be the greatest superhero film ever produced
5. Aliens will arrive.

reviews are !@#$ing stupid. Play what you love.

  Vutar

Advanced Member

Joined: 1/10/09
Posts: 749

Those who cannot learn from history are doomed to repeat it. -George Santayana

12/23/13 4:46:52 AM#28
Originally posted by sportsfan

1. MMO's will still be free to play for the most of them and will not recover from the shake out in the loss of their subscriptions.

2. THE game of 2014 on line will be Hearthstone. Establishing a new wave of massively played casual games on line. 

3. iPads and other tablets will even more erode the MMORPG worlds on PC.

4. The newly launched MMO's will just fade after the initial 3 months launching period, just like in previous years, despite the hype.

5. WOW will still be top dog with 6 million subs of which 3 M reside in the west. Actually Hearthstone could have a positive impact on it by the end of 2014.

tldr: nothing will change.

CU in 2015.

 

Hearthstone will not retain players. There is basically zero reason to play the game other than simply giving Blizzard money for cards. It is a fun to play mechanically. It is fast paced. There is just no hook behind it at this point. These complaints have been voiced on the official forums daily.

 

  DamonVile

Elite Member

Joined: 11/22/05
Posts: 4423

12/23/13 4:50:54 AM#29
Originally posted by Distopia
My prediction: In 2014 those who can accept faults in games will be playing games, those who can't will be on forums raging about it.

+1

Don't forget the part about them making up reasons why games they don't like " failed"

People are like cats. When they die, you get a new one.

  Vutar

Advanced Member

Joined: 1/10/09
Posts: 749

Those who cannot learn from history are doomed to repeat it. -George Santayana

12/23/13 4:53:59 AM#30
Originally posted by DamonVile
Originally posted by Distopia
My prediction: In 2014 those who can accept faults in games will be playing games, those who can't will be on forums raging about it.

+1

Don't forget the part about them making up reasons why games they don't like " failed"

 

-1

Don't forget the part about them making up reasons why games they like "succeeded"

  Myria

Advanced Member

Joined: 5/07/09
Posts: 533

12/23/13 5:49:57 AM#31

1) WoW will see a resurgence in sub numbers. For whatever reason a lot of people are excited by WoD, and, in some cases, the departure of GC. I've seen ever single one of my MMO-playing friends return to WoW in preparation, many after extended absences and some I frankly never thought I'd see going back to that game. While I doubt Blizz will see Late-BC/Early-Wrath numbers again, depending on how WoD really turns out it wouldn't completely shock me.

 

2) Hearthstone will be game changingly huge. Personally I don't get the CCG-style games, they just don't appeal to me at all. But those I know who are into them, as well as some pretty big names out on the net, are obsessed with it. Utterly, completely, even annoyingly, obsessed.

 

3) TESO will continue to be the new ToR around here, and for many of the same reasons -- most having much, much more to do with what the game isn't than what the game is and always has claimed to be. As with ToR, the hate train won't matter much despite the belief of many a basement dweller that if they just froth at the mouth loudly enough the world will realize how right they are. TESO will sell a ton of boxes (don't need to be Nostradamus to see that one) and do more than well enough long-term to get a continuous stream of updates as well as provide endless clickbait for sites like this one and Massively for years to come. It is fortunate for ToR that there's more than enough hate to go around, or TESO might steal all its heating fuel.

 

4) GW2 will see some sort of major shake-up. Frankly it can't continue to go as-is, the revenue decline is too consistent and predictable, not to mention that it will likely be facing increased competition -- between next-gen consoles, an increasing number of cross-platform "MMO-Lite" style games, and new full scale MMOs -- after a year of very little in the way of competing new releases. Ideally, at least for those who enjoy the game, Anet will announce a major expac (Cantha, anyone?), even if it is a long ways off. I suspect that what is more likely to happen will be less than ideal, however. Time will tell.

 

5) FFXIV ARR will join FFXI as a "forgotten" MMO in the West -- one everyone speaks well of, when they even remember it's there, but not very many play. Longevity issues aren't really solvable at this point. The game will likely see more than enough support from Japanese players alone to continue along happily, and it certainly will keep enough Western subs to justify the servers, but that's about it.

 

Bonus predictions:

 

6) Without a buyer or merger, Trion Worlds will be lucky to make it to the end of the year.

 

7) There will be major disappointment when people finally get a good look at EQL/EQN

 

8) Various abuses will see a severe increase in crowdfunding regulation, to the point where crowdfunding as we know it today won't really exist.

 

9) F2P will continue to never be 'F' enough, but games will increasingly be designed around the cash shop "random box" model.

 

10) Year-end predictions will continue to be either so blindingly obvious as to not be worth mentioning, or right only by sheer random chance.

  SoMuchMass

Apprentice Member

Joined: 1/16/13
Posts: 583

12/23/13 6:05:37 AM#32
Originally posted by Scot

In the last four or five years the only MMO to retain traction population wise is GW2, it is not even the best MMO released in that time period but there you go. That fact should show you just how tough MMO land has become.

No, not really it hasn't.  It suffered the same fate of every other MMO in the market.  Massive decline a couple of months after launch.  Every single source we have on the subject states massive decline.

As for the OP and the prediction that future MMOs take the same fate, I would have to agree.  Even if they are good I see them take the same fate of massive hype and population at launch to massive decline a couple of months later.  I hope that weren't the case, but I can't see it not happening.

  Buttdart

Novice Member

Joined: 4/27/12
Posts: 34

12/23/13 6:37:17 AM#33

Completely agree with the EQL/EQN stuff. I'm hoping I'm wrong, because it seems like it'd be a fun game and community if it actually maintained enough players to feel like a living breathing MMO and not all the vacant junk that there is today begging for people to play the free trial; but I have a feeling that 3 months after release the EQN forum here will have a 3-post-per-day average.

  Ghabbo

Apprentice Member

Joined: 9/02/11
Posts: 191

12/23/13 6:44:42 AM#34
Originally posted by Robokapp

My predictions for 2014...

 

1) F2P bubble bursts toward the end of the year.

2) Crowfunding bursts with Star Citizen.

3) P2P MMOs launch with smaller playerbases than previous titles. stabilize around 50% retention.

4) WoW stabilizes at 2mil western subs. Begins considering an extension to its F2P model up to level 70. For 2015.

5) EVE Online keeps growing like clockwork.

6) Non-PC e-sports games, particularly graphics un-intensive TCGs are the next big thing.

7) Fewer new mall indy MMOs are announced than 2012/213.

8) World of Darness and Project Titan are delayed further.

9) WoW Movie is launched creating the last great accumulation of nerds per square meter of our generation.

10) We start wondering if 2015 will be "More of the same".

 

 

A little bit apocalyptic (especially the part about nerd accumulation), but I mostly agree 

  crasset15

Advanced Member

Joined: 12/12/12
Posts: 155

12/23/13 6:47:46 AM#35

1) ass and titties continue to be the preferred advertising method for F2P games (looking at you, PWI)

2) people will complain on ESO/wildstar forums about lack of endgame content

3) people will build giant penises all over EQN:Landmark, which results in SOE having to hire an anti-penis employee.

4) people ask Trion about Archeage release date

5) people compare WoW subscriber numbers between 2013 and 2014 and conclude that the game is dying

  Robokapp

Elite Member

Joined: 11/15/09
Posts: 4530

The only luck I had today was to have you as my opponent.

12/23/13 12:20:09 PM#36
Originally posted by crasset15
5) people compare WoW subscriber numbers between 2013 and 2014 and conclude that the game is dying

Dear mods/admins, the following is an analogy created just to illustrate a point and by no means an attack to the quoted poster.

 

Crasset15, I have a question. If your white cell blood count followed the dynamics of WoW's subscription numbers yet no disease was found, wouldn't you perhaps be worried about dying?

  eyelolled

Apprentice Member

Joined: 5/13/10
Posts: 3083

I am more than some of my parts

12/23/13 2:15:37 PM#37

1: game producers will continue to provide as little effort as possible to create as much profit as possible.

2: Advertisers will continue to tell consumers that "it's made by gamers" in the hopes that they will be confused into thinking this changes anything about #1

3: Consumers will continue to throw varying amounts of money at producers, and then tell themselves that at least they didn't blow it really bad, while posting on the forums how they were blatantly ripped off.

4: P2P will continue to be a gateway method to make consumers feel like they are saving money while they spend it.

5: People will continue to rehash the exact same arguments in the forums while still feeling like their position needs yet to be represented.

All of my posts are either intelligent, thought provoking, funny, satirical, sarcastic or intentionally disrespectful. Take your pick.

  DamonVile

Elite Member

Joined: 11/22/05
Posts: 4423

12/23/13 2:15:55 PM#38
Originally posted by Vutar
Originally posted by DamonVile
Originally posted by Distopia
My prediction: In 2014 those who can accept faults in games will be playing games, those who can't will be on forums raging about it.

+1

Don't forget the part about them making up reasons why games they don't like " failed"

 

-1

Don't forget the part about them making up reasons why games they like "succeeded"

That doesn't even make sense...You don't need to make excuses for games that succeed. You can just log in and play them. The fact that they're still running is all the evidence you need.

 

People are like cats. When they die, you get a new one.

  Vutar

Advanced Member

Joined: 1/10/09
Posts: 749

Those who cannot learn from history are doomed to repeat it. -George Santayana

12/23/13 2:28:09 PM#39
Originally posted by DamonVile
Originally posted by Vutar
Originally posted by DamonVile
Originally posted by Distopia
My prediction: In 2014 those who can accept faults in games will be playing games, those who can't will be on forums raging about it.

+1

Don't forget the part about them making up reasons why games they don't like " failed"

 

-1

Don't forget the part about them making up reasons why games they like "succeeded"

That doesn't even make sense...You don't need to make excuses for games that succeed. You can just log in and play them. The fact that they're still running is all the evidence you need.

 

 

If what I said doesn't make sense, then what you said doesn't either...

 

 

  snoocky

Advanced Member

Joined: 9/18/10
Posts: 489

12/23/13 2:30:14 PM#40
@OP, when you mentioned Hearthstone at nr.2, I stopped reading...what terrible game!
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