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News & Features Discussion  » General: Prognostications for 2011

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100 posts found
  SBFord

Associate Editor - News Manager

Joined: 6/28/10
Posts: 14030

 
OP  12/30/10 2:30:14 PM#1

It's that time of year, the time when things wind down for the preceding twelve months, the time of reflection and the time for looking ahead to the coming year. In his latest MMORPG.com column, Bill Murphy prognosticates about 2011. Check out his thoughts and then add a few of your own in the comments section below.

I’m positive we’re going to see about nine million of these over the coming weeks and days. And I’m sure we’ll see a lot of rehashed ground in the process. But hey… what’s one more for the pile? It’s fun to make crass predictions about the times ahead and see how they all shake out. I like pretending I’m a serious analyst, but using completely nonsensical bases for my forecasts. And hey, let’s face it. 2010 was not the greatest year for MMO gaming. When the best thing to happen is the re-molding of content that’s six years old you know it’s not been an excited time. There were plenty of downs to talk about though… but let’s avoid that here. Instead, let’s talk about the year ahead and what could be (both good and bad) because it’s just plain fun.

Read more Bill Murphy: Prognostications for 2011.

Associate Editor: MMORPG.com
Follow me on Twitter: @MMORPGMom

  User Deleted
12/30/10 2:39:43 PM#2

Happy New year Bill!

  maskedweasel

Tipster

Joined: 9/24/07
Posts: 7274

"Kids, try imagining how far the universe extends! Keep thinking about it until you go insane."

12/30/10 2:41:05 PM#3

I think you pretty much nailed my expectations for next year on just about all fronts. 

"Loan me a Dragon I wanna see space"


  whilan

Keeper of the Archives

Joined: 1/30/07
Posts: 3122

12/30/10 2:53:03 PM#4

Thats my predictions as well except for 2 things.

ToR is likely to come out sooner then the end of the year as they are still slated to release for spring 2011 and with a year of testing by then i think they will hit near that mark if not on it.

Also i predict that GW2 won't hit the 2011 release mark, predictions place it at the end of 2011 and thats before any set backs that tend to happen with testing of a game.  I predict early 2012 though.

Help me Bioware, your my only hope.

Is ToR going to be good? Dude it's Bioware making a freaking star wars game, all signs point to awesome. -G4tv MMo report.

  sudo

Apprentice Member

Joined: 8/23/05
Posts: 699

12/30/10 2:58:23 PM#5

Great stuff as usual, Bill.

How about:

"FINAL FANTASY XIV COMES BACK WITH PS3 RELEASE AND CLIMBS UP TO "THE BEST MMORPG COMEBACK OF 2011" ?

:)

Good luck to all of us in the next year!

"Only in quiet waters do things mirror themselves undistorted.
Only in a quiet mind is adequate perception of the world."
Hans Margolius

  Vagrant_Zero

Novice Member

Joined: 9/22/07
Posts: 1257

12/30/10 3:03:35 PM#6
Originally posted by sudo


Great stuff as usual, Bill.

How about:

"FINAL FANTASY XIV COMES BACK WITH PS3 RELEASE AND CLIMBS UP TO "THE BEST MMORPG COMEBACK OF 2011" ?

:)

Good luck to all of us in the next year!

 

Pigs Fly. :p

  thamighty213

Novice Member

Joined: 9/17/06
Posts: 1648

12/30/10 3:29:47 PM#7

Good summary Bill although I'm not sure TOR will have that backlash BIOWARE has made no bones and no wild claims (heres looking at you RIFT) It will do exactly what it says on the tin so unless a player has been without internet for the last 18 months at launch then they should more than know what to expect.

 

Also have a feeling GW2 may push to 2012 :(

  Korithian

Novice Member

Joined: 1/14/10
Posts: 243

12/30/10 3:37:33 PM#8

 I was under the impression that Fallout online was being built because Bethesda wanted interplay to make an online game and the law suit was all because Bethesda thought they were dragging their heels.

 

 Two games that have been missed off the list. The Secret World and World of Darkness Online both games that I think will offer something different to the MMO market. I hope they do exceptionally well cause I can't think of much like them. Most games seem to be either fantasy or sci-fi with little set in a dark present.

 

Other than that I think very good predicitions with the exception of Star Wars ToR. While I agree that it will be a year till we see it where the team at bioware try to find solutions to adding their 4th pillar to the MMO game. I think the late release and the familiar formula set out by EQ or WoW will not offer enough to keep the players. So while it will be a criticial sucess the market will just have seen too many games already out in 2011 by the time it launches for it to break away from the pack and establish itself. And we all know what EA does if a game isn't making the profits it requires.

  whilan

Keeper of the Archives

Joined: 1/30/07
Posts: 3122

12/30/10 3:38:55 PM#9
Originally posted by thamighty213

Good summary Bill although I'm not sure TOR will have that backlash BIOWARE has made no bones and no wild claims (heres looking at you RIFT) It will do exactly what it says on the tin so unless a player has been without internet for the last 18 months at launch then they should more than know what to expect.

 

Also have a feeling GW2 may push to 2012 :(

Granted Bw has stated exactly what the game is, but i think, we already started to see the grumbling growing over time, the subforum for that title already has increased moderations on it and the people coming and trying to bash the game for one reason or another has increased.

Regardless of how many times BW or it's fans state the features there is a storm coming and theres no way to stop it.  People will have expectations for this game, and everytime something doesn't meet those expectations they get riled up.  SW is a hot topic and the way BW is going about it makes it even hotter.

Help me Bioware, your my only hope.

Is ToR going to be good? Dude it's Bioware making a freaking star wars game, all signs point to awesome. -G4tv MMo report.

  unclemo

Hard Core Member

Joined: 7/23/07
Posts: 341

12/30/10 4:09:03 PM#10

There is no way Jumpgate sees the light of day next year.  No shot. 

Also, who no prediction for which MMO with shut down this year? 2010 saw a year of shit releases.  All of them with trudge along and remain open December 31, 2011?

  Sintrix

Novice Member

Joined: 7/06/05
Posts: 53

12/30/10 4:54:41 PM#11
No predictions about TERA? I think the intoduction of the first true action mmo is going to have a major impact on the market. I had high hopes for DCUO, but the very limited power selection and tab targeting ruined it for me. Target locking and not being able to dodge ranged attacks makes it not an action game in my opinion. As for GW2, I'm not sure why it's on this list because it's not releasing until 2012.
  Soveja

Apprentice Member

Joined: 4/07/07
Posts: 7

12/30/10 6:09:20 PM#12

Waw...  as expected, a very biased review... all the games are made in the US, even GW2 ( though the parent company is NcSoft)... I understand this might be a site targeted at the American audience, but open up your eyes man... there are a few Korean games that should be in this top.

What about Tera?

 It's number 3 in the most hyped MMO's on your site... It does bring some new features like actual targeting in a sandbox seamless world... Now where exactly on the hype and reader importance list is Earthrise? you mention some small players but leave out some important ones...

 

BTW GW will be launched around the same time with Blade & Soul... why isn't that on the top?? That brings something new.... actualy, what does GW3 bring new to the genre? cos I don't get it.

  kalanthis

Novice Member

Joined: 6/21/06
Posts: 112

12/30/10 6:09:59 PM#13

Huh, prognasticate. New word, today not a complete waste then:)

Nice article, can't argue with too much there.

I'm only really interested in DCUO, GW2, SWTOR and maybe RIFT. At least one of these games will be in my sweaty palms in the next fortnight, hopefully SWTOR can keep to their (new) 2011 timeline.

 

 

  werewood

Novice Member

Joined: 11/22/10
Posts: 76

12/30/10 6:52:29 PM#14

Wrong!

 

Heh honestly I think that you are too biased with DCUO. They will do ok with Action game players, but I doubt even CoH people will shift.

Overall they will have a good player base - but its not going to be even a big success. Not a flop either. But Action games will prove via DCUO and Tera too BTW - that they are not mainstream yet. Maybe Titan from Bliz will - but a lot of things need to happen to bring action into the mainstream. And DCUO is definitely not that.

RIFT - will do great as people get the info they need and till the 1st of March everyone will know exactly what they buy. TOR and GW2 will affect it. Mainly the later. If GW2 is pushed we will even see RIFT as a WoW snatcher in 2011. Maybe getting steadily to 2.5 Million subs.

TOR is going to appeal to people who like a story. As much as we like to ask for it - not everyone can stand a conversation and picking options. It will get its 2.5 Million subs though steadily too.

GW2 is the great equalizer. I agree on that. If its good - we can forget everything that came before. Like WoW way back. It will reset the industry and begin the 3rd era of MMO. I am just disappointed of the lack of some classes. Assuming the missing professions are something similar to - assassin, blue lady pali, mesmer and gunner.

  whilan

Keeper of the Archives

Joined: 1/30/07
Posts: 3122

12/30/10 7:10:50 PM#15

Some people are taking these predictions way too seriously.  These are just what he thinks will happen, not what will.  You can say you have a different prediction, but he currently isn't wrong.

Help me Bioware, your my only hope.

Is ToR going to be good? Dude it's Bioware making a freaking star wars game, all signs point to awesome. -G4tv MMo report.

  werewood

Novice Member

Joined: 11/22/10
Posts: 76

12/30/10 7:16:20 PM#16

^Whilan - you are right. But Bill is still wrong ;)

  Sfaliara

Novice Member

Joined: 12/04/10
Posts: 447

12/30/10 7:16:34 PM#17

This is very biased...what about Tera, The Secret World, Blade & Soul and niche games like Firefall? Anything? For a "2011 prognostications" article you could include few more games other than these imo...That's a typical US writer for you.

  Czelaw

Advanced Member

Joined: 8/17/09
Posts: 166

12/30/10 7:29:51 PM#18

O.o i dont get it......

  whilan

Keeper of the Archives

Joined: 1/30/07
Posts: 3122

12/30/10 7:37:57 PM#19

Whats with this "typical of american writers" thing, thats near report worthy.

Merely cause he excluded a game doesn't mean anything, These are his predictions on what these games will do.

Geez people are way too senasitive when their game isn't announced or talked about.

It's fine to say why isn't this game or that game in there, can we leave the bashing of nations out of it. Thanks.

Help me Bioware, your my only hope.

Is ToR going to be good? Dude it's Bioware making a freaking star wars game, all signs point to awesome. -G4tv MMo report.

  MumboJumbo

Advanced Member

Joined: 7/18/10
Posts: 3207

Veni, Vidi, Converti

12/30/10 7:43:16 PM#20

Interesting list and comments. SWTOR and GW2 are top of the list for me and expect Summer SWTOR release and GW2 nov release. But you caught my interest with Jumpgate and Earthrise, those feel more leftfield and different also. DCUO actiony-combat does look set to capture some fans too. At least Rift is releasing soon so we can start accessing these MMOs but tbh choosing to ape wow has proven to be a hard act to follow so the Rifts and Soul System and hard-core elements have to be very stand out. I agree with a few posters some mentions on tera and b&s would be interesting even though the eastern art style puts me off, it will be interesting to see how they have designed their combat systems. Maybe FF lingers in the memory too soon?! Firefall looks like one to watch also and maybe a preview of what Blizzard's Titan will be about?!

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