Ok just curious how well you guys think Aion will do. WoW has 2.5m subs in North America but of course that didn't happen overnight. I'm predicting at least 200k subs since no other major mmo being released this year. It will be great to look back at this 6 months from now and see how people did in their prediction. Please no trolling!

Under 500k but more than your 200k

Only in NA, probably between 300 and 400k, should reach around 1 million in all of the western market

My crystal ball is on the fritz, so I'll get back to you.

Just curious, what purpose does such speculation serve? What data are you hoping to gain here? Should we expect a thread six months from now that says, "I was right!" if such an event does occur?

Not an attack, just trying to understand your intentions.

-DR

if  WH had about 300k after a few month...i say Aion will do more than that.

Your choices were flawed. It will have more than 200k. Sub numbers will go up from release and not decline as well.

less than 50k. I hope americans still have some bits of sanity to not play anything that came from the rotten pits of NCsoft.

Over 9000.

Pointless speculation, really, unless you have something to gain from it.

Originally posted by Thillian

less than 50k. I hope americans still have some bits of sanity to not play anything that came from the rotten pits of NCsoft.

LOL.. sounds like a personal problem.

 less then 1 million

 mm by the way im surprised you dont consider gw2 a major mmo isnt it being released in september

Originally posted by Thillian

less than 50k. I hope americans still have some bits of sanity to not play anything that came from the rotten pits of NCsoft.

Yes, because NCSoft is worse than Cryptic, SOE and Funcom. Riiiiiight.

Originally posted by drbaltazar

 mm by the way im surprised you dont consider gw2 a major mmo isnt it being released in september

The first GW2 video was released today together with its website and you say it's getting released in september? Don't expect a GW2 release date before 2011, 2010 maybe, but I highly doubt it.

Meh, double post =/

I think some (maybe more) will stay from the title since it does employ GG (gameguard) as a protective device.  A lot of people don't want a rootkit on their system.  It installs a device driver that will not uninstall with the game and is VERY hard to get off of your system once on it.  A very poor decision by NCSoft to employ such a device.

I'm guessing NA won't be much above 200.000, simply because Aion focuses too much on PvP. Even though more PvE are being added most people will have had enough once they have played through the content. Just after release the number will be 3-500k though.
 

I dont want to be to harsh but these kinds of posts pop up all the time and all I wanna say is "Hey OP are you dense in the head"? Aion hasnt even been released yet, neither has GW2 so we dont know how they will pan out, granted Aion already has had beta's but Aion will have changed via patches when GW2 comes out.

Originally posted by JonMichael

Originally posted by Thillian

less than 50k. I hope americans still have some bits of sanity to not play anything that came from the rotten pits of NCsoft.

 

LOL.. sounds like a personal problem.

 

Correct me if I'm wrong. NCSoft is the only company that pulled the plug twice in a row within a short period of time. No matter what, if a game is not making money anymore, keeping at least one server up is a sign of their relationships with some long-term customers (even if its just a minority).

SoE at least keeps their games up, NCsoft just shuts them down if things turn out not that well.

A prediction - less than 150k, if that.

200 - 300k subscribers in 6 months is my prediction.

  It will draw players from all games but i look for most of the WOW fans who try it  to leave which will only help the community.  It will take subs from War and AOC due to the PVP aspect. I look for it to settle in with LOTRO numbers or there about.