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Age of Conan: Unchained

Age of Conan 

General Discussion  » The Sky is falling!!

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53 posts found
  ganton

Novice Member

Joined: 1/10/06
Posts: 323

 
10/28/08 3:59:15 AM#1

When did all these "Conan will be bankrupt in 3 months" posts start?? Just want to know so I can set a date that I can come back on these forums and make you all look like idiots.. And if anyone really believes that then make me a wager, if its not gone in 3 months then get the heck off these forums for good.

ps. just as an example of how untrue this statement is. I just got done RAIDING yes RAIDING  (lvl 69 instance) Prison Colony in Thunder River, a 6 man instance at 3 am in the morning because there were so many people that wanted to do it we had to start a raid.

  Paasikivi

Apprentice Member

Joined: 10/26/08
Posts: 31

10/28/08 4:40:29 AM#2
Originally posted by ganton

When did all these "Conan will be bankrupt in 3 months" posts start?? Just want to know so I can set a date that I can come back on these forums and make you all look like idiots.. And if anyone really believes that then make me a wager, if its not gone in 3 months then get the heck off these forums for good.

ps. just as an example of how untrue this statement is. I just got done RAIDING yes RAIDING  (lvl 69 instance) Prison Colony in Thunder River, a 6 man instance at 3 am in the morning because there were so many people that wanted to do it we had to start a raid.

 

Hahahaaaa...

You were in raiding in Prison Colony at 3am? Wow, that must mean AoC is saved!!

FC's incoming bankrupt has NOTHING to do with how many people are raiding at 3am. It's about huge short term DEBT they need to PAY BACK. They need a lot of money and fast and since AoC is their main income, they need subscriptions. The problem is, people are not subscribing. If it looks like new people are joining your server, that's only current subscribers rerolling to a more populated server.

FC is in huge financial troubles but no worries, you got some awesome raiding done!

I hope this is not considered a personal attack, but this was the dumbest post I have read in a long time. Thanks for making me laugh.

  ganton

Novice Member

Joined: 1/10/06
Posts: 323

 
10/28/08 4:46:27 AM#3

I said raiding a 6 man instance, because there was tons of lvl 69ish players on at 3am that all needed the quest. It wasnt about raiding its about population. So your saying Funcom will be bankrupt in 3 months ahole?? Then take my wager.

<modedit>

  Distopia

Drifter

Joined: 11/22/05
Posts: 11008

If it contains the words video and game, it must be a WOW clone.

10/28/08 4:49:52 AM#4
Originally posted by Paasikivi
Originally posted by ganton

When did all these "Conan will be bankrupt in 3 months" posts start?? Just want to know so I can set a date that I can come back on these forums and make you all look like idiots.. And if anyone really believes that then make me a wager, if its not gone in 3 months then get the heck off these forums for good.

ps. just as an example of how untrue this statement is. I just got done RAIDING yes RAIDING  (lvl 69 instance) Prison Colony in Thunder River, a 6 man instance at 3 am in the morning because there were so many people that wanted to do it we had to start a raid.

 

Hahahaaaa...

You were in raiding in Prison Colony at 3am? Wow, that must mean AoC is saved!!

FC's incoming bankrupt has NOTHING to do with how many people are raiding at 3am. It's about huge short term DEBT they need to PAY BACK. They need a lot of money and fast and since AoC is their main income, they need subscriptions. The problem is, people are not subscribing. If it looks like new people are joining your server, that's only current subscribers rerolling to a more populated server.

FC is in huge financial troubles but no worries, you got some awesome raiding done!

I hope this is not considered a personal attack, but this was the dumbest post I have read in a long time. Thanks for making me laugh.

Is there a link to this information you can post for us to read? Something that says who they owe money to, when it's due, whether they're paying them etc...?

For every minute you are angry , you lose 60 seconds of happiness."-Emerson

If you can't argue the point don't say anything at all.

  Paasikivi

Apprentice Member

Joined: 10/26/08
Posts: 31

10/28/08 5:03:23 AM#5
Originally posted by ganton

I said raiding a 6 man instance, because there was tons of lvl 69ish players on at 3am that all needed the quest. It wasnt about raiding its about population. So your saying Funcom will be bankrupt in 3 months ahole?? Then take my wager.

<modedit>

 

Yes, I know perfectly well what you meant. That's what I thought was funny . You think FC is in no trouble because your server had enough people to raid at 3am. Lol. You my friend fail to see the big picture.

I'm not sure how long FC can keep this up. Might be a little bit longer than 3 months, but it's coming, trust me. Only thing that could save them is if tons of people re-subscribe, which I doubt is going to happen.

You made me laugh again. Thanks

  gracefield

Novice Member

Joined: 4/04/06
Posts: 242

10/28/08 5:19:16 AM#6

Guys, the problem with this game, aside from FC financial worries, is the population at the lower levels. If the OP is able to raid at 3am, good luck to him. Like Vanguard and DAoC and other MMOs that are no longer generally popular, there is usually a fair population at higher levels of people who have stuck it out and love the game.

 

I recently played to lvl 22 in this game and saw three other players - and therein lies the problem, there's no future in a game that doesn't have players coming up through the levels.

 

I actually thought it wasn't a bad game - bit high on the sys reqs, which I don't think helps its cause - but pretty good, all things considered. It's a pity more people don't play it TBH...

  Hamrtime2

Novice Member

Joined: 2/11/06
Posts: 399

10/28/08 7:29:12 AM#7


Originally posted by ganton
When did all these "Conan will be bankrupt in 3 months" posts start?? Just want to know so I can set a date that I can come back on these forums and make you all look like idiots.. And if anyone really believes that then make me a wager, if its not gone in 3 months then get the heck off these forums for good.
ps. just as an example of how untrue this statement is. I just got done RAIDING yes RAIDING  (lvl 69 instance) Prison Colony in Thunder River, a 6 man instance at 3 am in the morning because there were so many people that wanted to do it we had to start a raid.

I would try march of 09. By then all of Funcoms cash in the bank will be dried up and the creditors will be beating down the funcom door by then.

But youre right. No one really knows when, but its pretty much inevitable that Funcom is goin down. Even my 8 year old twins know that a stock of 55.50 NOK in June to 3.48 in October doesnt look good. Now you might come back and say that stock price doesnt tell us anything about when a company is goin under, but I can tell you that Ive never seen a successful company lose 93.7% of their value in a 5 month timeframe.

I read somewhere that their 3rd quarter report comes out on November 12th or 13th. This should give us a little more insight on what is really goin on.

Even though I dont have the links, you can find them by looking up Azrile and litigator_ab. They have alot of posts about Funcom and can pretty much back up what they say with financial facts. Hope this helps.

  DonnieBrasco

Novice Member

Joined: 7/25/06
Posts: 1798

Achiever 80.00%
Explorer 60.00%
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Socializer 13.33%

10/28/08 7:46:18 AM#8

To OP:

Chief officers and brokers at Lehman brothers will get lots of millions of dollars as premium before the end of this year.

This had nothing to do with the fact that they had gone bankrupt (for good) in the middle of September.

Now, imagine, if these things can happen at the same time - how much correlation is there between a given player numbet at a certain hour, and FC going bankrupt?

A little to think about...

DB

Denial makes one look a lot dumber than he/she actually is.

  Gyrus

Apprentice Member

Joined: 11/20/07
Posts: 2033

10/28/08 7:51:23 AM#9
Originally posted by Malickie
Originally posted by Paasikivi
Originally posted by ganton

When did all these "Conan will be bankrupt in 3 months" posts start?? Just want to know so I can set a date that I can come back on these forums and make you all look like idiots.. And if anyone really believes that then make me a wager, if its not gone in 3 months then get the heck off these forums for good.

ps. just as an example of how untrue this statement is. I just got done RAIDING yes RAIDING  (lvl 69 instance) Prison Colony in Thunder River, a 6 man instance at 3 am in the morning because there were so many people that wanted to do it we had to start a raid.

 

Hahahaaaa...

You were in raiding in Prison Colony at 3am? Wow, that must mean AoC is saved!!

FC's incoming bankrupt has NOTHING to do with how many people are raiding at 3am. It's about huge short term DEBT they need to PAY BACK. They need a lot of money and fast and since AoC is their main income, they need subscriptions. The problem is, people are not subscribing. If it looks like new people are joining your server, that's only current subscribers rerolling to a more populated server.

FC is in huge financial troubles but no worries, you got some awesome raiding done!

I hope this is not considered a personal attack, but this was the dumbest post I have read in a long time. Thanks for making me laugh.

Is there a link to this information you can post for us to read? Something that says who they owe money to, when it's due, whether they're paying them etc...?

 

http://www.reuters.com/finance/stocks/incomeStatement?stmtType=INC&perType=INT&symbol=FUNCOM.OL

 

There should be a quarterly update any day now.

 

Then we will all see.

I tried playing Real Life but the graphics sucked, the community was annoying too.
- WolfOfBloodAndBone commenting on "The Guild"'s Game On Music Vid

  miscbattles

Apprentice Member

Joined: 10/17/08
Posts: 103

10/28/08 7:58:07 AM#10

Funcom is a shit development company. Their "new" dreamworld engine is garbage as most of their software is.. The only good game they ever made was that Adventure game years ago.. then they suckered stupid investors into investing in AoC by overhyping it.

They have alot of big mouth egotistical idiots working there too.

I hope it goes bankrupt so I can laugh at them all.

  gracefield

Novice Member

Joined: 4/04/06
Posts: 242

10/28/08 8:26:28 AM#11

I'm sure all the families who depend on a salary from Funcom will be delighted to know that...

  Azrile

Advanced Member

Joined: 7/29/08
Posts: 2316

Any new or returning player to WOW, send me a PM for some help getting started.

10/28/08 9:00:19 AM#12
Originally posted by ganton

When did all these "Conan will be bankrupt in 3 months" posts start?? Just want to know so I can set a date that I can come back on these forums and make you all look like idiots.. And if anyone really believes that then make me a wager, if its not gone in 3 months then get the heck off these forums for good.

ps. just as an example of how untrue this statement is. I just got done RAIDING yes RAIDING  (lvl 69 instance) Prison Colony in Thunder River, a 6 man instance at 3 am in the morning because there were so many people that wanted to do it we had to start a raid.


 

Woot.. that is me.  Check my post history.

In June/July I said that Funcom would be bankrupt in March 09.   I have since moved it up to Jan09.  I also predicted the huge loss in the 2nd quarter when the fanboys were thinking Funcom was going to make 50M because of box sales.

Negative 16M in cashflow is way too much for a company with 12M in sales to deal with.  Forget about the short-term debt, even if Funcom had no debt I still wouldn't see it lasting more than 6 months.  My guess is the debt will move up the collapse date a few months though.

I'll be more than happy to admit I'm wrong in January. (my hedge bet).. but I'm really thinking that by Nov 30th we will hear the next 'big news' out of Funcom talking about closing down shop or selling AOC to another company.

I'm also going to do my expectations a few days before Funcom releases 3Q numbers.  I don't mind being wrong or being accountable for my predictions.. I'm not going to slink away if I'm proven wrong like so many of the fanboys have over the last 6 months.

If you are an ex-wow player and want to come back. Scroll of Rez gives 7 free days, boost a character to 80 a realm and faction change. Send me PM for an invite. Only 1 per day available

  Paasikivi

Apprentice Member

Joined: 10/26/08
Posts: 31

10/28/08 10:29:35 AM#13
Originally posted by Azrile

Woot.. that is me.  Check my post history.

In June/July I said that Funcom would be bankrupt in March 09.   I have since moved it up to Jan09.  I also predicted the huge loss in the 2nd quarter when the fanboys were thinking Funcom was going to make 50M because of box sales.

Negative 16M in cashflow is way too much for a company with 12M in sales to deal with.  Forget about the short-term debt, even if Funcom had no debt I still wouldn't see it lasting more than 6 months.  My guess is the debt will move up the collapse date a few months though.

I'll be more than happy to admit I'm wrong in January. (my hedge bet).. but I'm really thinking that by Nov 30th we will hear the next 'big news' out of Funcom talking about closing down shop or selling AOC to another company.

I'm also going to do my expectations a few days before Funcom releases 3Q numbers.  I don't mind being wrong or being accountable for my predictions.. I'm not going to slink away if I'm proven wrong like so many of the fanboys have over the last 6 months.

 

Too bad your financial predictions are too difficult to understand for an average MMORPG user. Their thought process goes like this:

I was doing a raid with a full team yesterday = Yey, servers are booming and AoC is a huge success!

They fail to understand the importance of money. But they will understand it the day AoC shuts down. Well, actually it's probaly not going to shut down. FC will sell AoC to the highest bidder.

Please do continue writing your predictions. They are an interesting read.

  orzo

Novice Member

Joined: 9/30/08
Posts: 284

Current Game: Ryzom

10/28/08 10:35:11 AM#14
Originally posted by gracefield

I'm sure all the families who depend on a salary from Funcom will be delighted to know that...


 

I just hope you vote your interests this coming election gracefield.  I mean it wasnt the employees fault that are being laid off in droves now, that FORD and GM and Chrysler decided to keep building hummers and trucks large enough to haul 4 CY of dirt at a time.  Those companies made the choices at the top and they are still making nice salaries and deciding whom to lay off due to their inept production decisions.  This is no different for funcom.

Some people are like slinkies, they dont really have a purpose, but they still bring a smile to your face when you push them down the stairs.

  ganton

Novice Member

Joined: 1/10/06
Posts: 323

 
10/28/08 10:48:23 AM#15

Look at the stock market right now, its in shambles, every company is loosing HUGE amounts of stock value. If your saying Funcom is going under then I guess every other publicly traded company is too, they all have huge loss margins due to the horribly failing economy. Even WOW is on a downward trend, does it look like blizzard is going under??

You also feel to realize AOC does have a large player base(No not WOW huge but big enough) and is past the development stages(Dont need to spend more money on initial development cycle). What this means is even IF Funcom did go under, the game WOULD(I would bet any amount of money on this) be picked up by another company(Albeit one no one likes most likely, Sony, EA, etc.). And the players would never even experience a break in playtime.

So even if Funcom does go under in the near future what would a current player care about this?

  orzo

Novice Member

Joined: 9/30/08
Posts: 284

Current Game: Ryzom

10/28/08 11:43:29 AM#16
Originally posted by ganton

Look at the stock market right now, its in shambles, every company is loosing HUGE amounts of stock value. If your saying Funcom is going under then I guess every other publicly traded company is too, they all have huge loss margins due to the horribly failing economy. Even WOW is on a downward trend, does it look like blizzard is going under??

You also feel to realize AOC does have a large player base(No not WOW huge but big enough) and is past the development stages(Dont need to spend more money on initial development cycle). What this means is even IF Funcom did go under, the game WOULD(I would bet any amount of money on this) be picked up by another company(Albeit one no one likes most likely, Sony, EA, etc.). And the players would never even experience a break in playtime.

So even if Funcom does go under in the near future what would a current player care about this?


 

But AoC began its crater making fall far before the US or World markets began theirs.  Secondly with the world credit markets frozen, where will Funcoms next infusion of cash come from? Banks are just starting to lend to one another again.... Funcom with its sagging player base is gonna be able to convince who exactly, to loan it more funds? With all the short term debt they already have coupled with the fact that Q2 saw a 16m shortfall... and most of quarter 3 saw them losing subscribers like people escaping the titanic. I just dont see how they can last beyond 6 months.  I dont see it... Sorry...

Some people are like slinkies, they dont really have a purpose, but they still bring a smile to your face when you push them down the stairs.

  Azrile

Advanced Member

Joined: 7/29/08
Posts: 2316

Any new or returning player to WOW, send me a PM for some help getting started.

10/28/08 1:06:30 PM#17
Originally posted by ganton

Look at the stock market right now, its in shambles, every company is loosing HUGE amounts of stock value. If your saying Funcom is going under then I guess every other publicly traded company is too, they all have huge loss margins due to the horribly failing economy. Even WOW is on a downward trend, does it look like blizzard is going under??

You also feel to realize AOC does have a large player base(No not WOW huge but big enough) and is past the development stages(Dont need to spend more money on initial development cycle). What this means is even IF Funcom did go under, the game WOULD(I would bet any amount of money on this) be picked up by another company(Albeit one no one likes most likely, Sony, EA, etc.). And the players would never even experience a break in playtime.

So even if Funcom does go under in the near future what would a current player care about this?


 

Again, you don't understand the business side of things.   Yes, AOC no longer has to pay the huge development costs associated with the game, but now they have to pay bandwidth and customer service.  People really underestimate how HUGE the cost is for a MMORPG just for bandwidth.  The two games that released numbers both said it was about 50-60% of a players monthly subscription fee.  And that doesn't include server techs and customer service.  It's kinda the same mistake players made when they assumed Funcom got $50 per box sold.

Oh, I'm sure someone will buy AOC, but the game will be put on life support and have a huge transitional time where no development is done on the game.  This has happened in the past, and those games ar still 'out there'.   I mean if you want to play a game with 20k players and where you know the first names of all 3 developers.. then yeah.. AOC will still be around.

How funny it is to think about that, and then think about GG's comments about WOW being hamberger and AOC being steak.   GG is  now out of work and Blizzard just announced a new peak of 11M subscribers today.

If you are an ex-wow player and want to come back. Scroll of Rez gives 7 free days, boost a character to 80 a realm and faction change. Send me PM for an invite. Only 1 per day available

  courtsdad

Apprentice Member

Joined: 7/01/08
Posts: 361

10/28/08 1:15:25 PM#18
Originally posted by orzo
Originally posted by gracefield

I'm sure all the families who depend on a salary from Funcom will be delighted to know that...


 

I just hope you vote your interests this coming election gracefield.  I mean it wasnt the employees fault that are being laid off in droves now, that FORD and GM and Chrysler decided to keep building hummers and trucks large enough to haul 4 CY of dirt at a time.  Those companies made the choices at the top and they are still making nice salaries and deciding whom to lay off due to their inept production decisions.  This is no different for funcom.


 

Not to go down that road but the unions get to share a lot of the blame. Not that the unions= employess as they are corrupt as the day is long BUT many employees milked the system and their jobs went elsewhere as they were part of unions that milked the companies..

 

However none of those issues apply to what happened at FC. The average employee is not to blame in the least.

  orzo

Novice Member

Joined: 9/30/08
Posts: 284

Current Game: Ryzom

10/28/08 1:34:03 PM#19
Originally posted by courtsdad
Originally posted by orzo
Originally posted by gracefield

I'm sure all the families who depend on a salary from Funcom will be delighted to know that...


 

I just hope you vote your interests this coming election gracefield.  I mean it wasnt the employees fault that are being laid off in droves now, that FORD and GM and Chrysler decided to keep building hummers and trucks large enough to haul 4 CY of dirt at a time.  Those companies made the choices at the top and they are still making nice salaries and deciding whom to lay off due to their inept production decisions.  This is no different for funcom.


 

Not to go down that road but the unions get to share a lot of the blame. Not that the unions= employess as they are corrupt as the day is long BUT many employees milked the system and their jobs went elsewhere as they were part of unions that milked the companies..

 

However none of those issues apply to what happened at FC. The average employee is not to blame in the least.


 

Thats what I was saying - The employees didnt make the choices, a few at the top did that.  Just as I read this morning that companies taking bailout cash have set aside BILLIONS to pay huge bonuses to employees this year.

Some people are like slinkies, they dont really have a purpose, but they still bring a smile to your face when you push them down the stairs.

  orzo

Novice Member

Joined: 9/30/08
Posts: 284

Current Game: Ryzom

10/28/08 2:03:53 PM#20
Originally posted by courtsdad
Originally posted by orzo
Originally posted by gracefield

I'm sure all the families who depend on a salary from Funcom will be delighted to know that...


 

I just hope you vote your interests this coming election gracefield.  I mean it wasnt the employees fault that are being laid off in droves now, that FORD and GM and Chrysler decided to keep building hummers and trucks large enough to haul 4 CY of dirt at a time.  Those companies made the choices at the top and they are still making nice salaries and deciding whom to lay off due to their inept production decisions.  This is no different for funcom.


 

Not to go down that road but the unions get to share a lot of the blame. Not that the unions= employess as they are corrupt as the day is long BUT many employees milked the system and their jobs went elsewhere as they were part of unions that milked the companies..

 

However none of those issues apply to what happened at FC. The average employee is not to blame in the least.


 

Also, I dont think the unions had much to do with killing these companies.  I think they did it to themselves. I think they were managed poorly.  After all its not the unions that chose to make whatever car they were making, is it?

Some people are like slinkies, they dont really have a purpose, but they still bring a smile to your face when you push them down the stairs.

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