Originally posted by lotharr

EVE Online is an FFA PvP and full loot MMO. EVE Online has about 250 000 players. Also,  the space ship setting is a lot more of a niche than the usual fantasy setting.

Eve has safe zones. Its not totally open pvp

eve is space game,you are a ship there, that's probably a reason why its only a 250k subscribers.

but on the other hand there is a lot of alts...

imo dfo of course will be niche, but it's pretty large niche, especially when you consider that mmorpg market is growing really fast, so i guess dfo after about 1 years from release will have >250k subscribers.

Originally posted by FischerBlack

Originally posted by Brezjnev

Originally posted by Trogg13

i agree those numbers are a bit unrealistic, especially as the percentages reported in your subject add to 125%...

 

DF devs have said they plan to start with a small number of servers and grow from there, which is IMO the smart way to go. if done well, and not too hardcore, i could see DF getting 250K subscribers over a year or 2.

 

DF fans may be optimistic, but DF trolls are flat-out stupid.

 

60% of the official community polled think Darkfall will have over 150,000 subscribers, 40% think over 250,000 and 25% think it will be over 750,000.

 

If 25% think it'll be over 750k, then those 25% think it will also be over 250k, added up with those that think it will be between 250k and 750k that makes ~40% who think it will be over 250k. The one who is wrong here is you, not the OP: Think twice before you go around calling other people stupid, certainly if you have such bad math skills.

I was just about to post the same thing, well said.

In regards to the polled subscription numbers themselves, I agree with the sentiment here that they are extremely unrealistic. If DF manages to have close to 100,000 subs 12 months after launch it will have 'hit it out of the park' so to speak.

750,000 is rediculous tbh

Are you both stupid? 25+40=65 last time I checked. And even if make an approximation when adding them, say it's exactly 22% + 38%, which I must inform you does give a result of 60%, then that means that the percentage of the people that bieleve that DF will have above 150k subs and below 250k is 0, which is improbable, or negative, which is impossible.

EDIT and to add to the conversation, yeah, those numbers are unrealistic. 100k will be the top DF hits, if it does. Which by the way I think is fine with Aventurine.

August 2009, the game has a maximum of 15 000 players.

Originally posted by Fodfod

August 2009, the game has a maximum of 15 000 players.

ewwww necro

hehe....Interesting to see how people perceived it then, and now.  People's expectaions were WAY off.

Is it out now then?

Reading most of those predictions made me laugh so hard that my sides hurt.

Yeah I find it funny as well. All I can really say is:

So what?

What people think as far as numbers hardly means anything if anything at all.

Originally posted by natuxatu

Yeah I find it funny as well. All I can really say is:

So what?

What people think as far as numbers hardly means anything if anything at all.

750k my side is still hurting.

It's not time yet =) if you all are incapable of counting then I'll help you. The game has launched for around 6 months which is half of a year. Wait 6 more months before posting here again.

Haha, come on.

All of us thought it has some kind skillcap back then. We didn't know it would be a level based game with a heavy grind. This game is for the niche of the niche gamers. I'm amazed it has 15 k.

Originally posted by Hotjazz

Haha, come on.

 

All of us thought it has some kind skillcap back then. We didn't know it would be a level based game with a heavy grind. This game is for the niche of the niche gamers. I'm amazed it has 15 k.

Originally posted by Nomis278

Is it out now then?

That says it all. Well, maybe not quite, but close.

Thanks for resurrecting this thread a year later. It's hilarious what people estimated.

Originally posted by wyrdaskolir

It's not time yet =) if you all are incapable of counting then I'll help you. The game has launched for around 6 months which is half of a year. Wait 6 more months before posting here again.

The crappy launch of Vanguard is what many say was it's downfall.  Darkfall's launch was no better.  I don't see it expanding too much beyond the two servers it has.

Originally posted by Fodfod

August 2009, the game has a maximum of 15 000 players.

People usually are wrong about how many sub numbers a game will have before it launches but that's no reason to necro up a post like this...

And it is nothing compared to Paul Barnetts claim that WAR would be bigger than Wow, that was way more optimistic.

They called us trolls, they called us haters,

To angry teens this game caters.

Not a shout but a groan.

not a legacy, but a joke they own.

A broken down FPS with a fantasy skin,

we knew it'd fail, where to begin?

The graphics, the lies,

or mighty Tasos we so despise?

To be fair we knew it would fail,

developed with lies at the pace of a snail.

So lets sit back and have a laugh,

at this necro post, and the fanbois gaffe.

Originally posted by Arcken

They called us trolls, they called us haters,

To angry teens this game caters.

Not a shout but a groan.

not a legacy, but a joke they own.

A broken down FPS with a fantasy skin,

we knew it'd fail, where to begin?

The graphics, the lies,

or mighty Tasos we so despise?

To be fair we knew it would fail,

developed with lies at the pace of a snail.

So lets sit back and have a laugh,

at this necro post, and the fanbois gaffe.

 

 

Holy crap dude, that's *great*!!

Funny, these expected subscription numbers were totally unrealistic. Unlike WAR and AoC, Darkfall never even had the potential.

My only hope was that Darkfall would be a nice playable sandbox, but with all the reported hacking and cheating I won't even dare to try it, if I could ...

p.s. Can I actually buy and play the game already? Or is there still some sort of "queue" ?