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Lord of the Rings Online

Lord of the Rings Online 

General Discussion  » Number of LOTRO Subscribers?

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106 posts found
  cityzen

Novice Member

Joined: 4/12/05
Posts: 311

 
OP  4/24/07 9:40:22 PM#1

I was reading Tobold's MMORPG blog and he guessed around 200k subscribers for LOTRO to start out.

http://tobolds.blogspot.com/2007/03/calibrating-my-crystal-ball.html

I'm sure it will grow beyond that, very smooth release so far. What you think?

If you think it's more, or less than the options here there is another poll later on, just vote once!

 

How many for the first number we hear?

> 100K
> 200K
> 500K
> 1M
(login to vote)

------------------------------------

  Quingu

Novice Member

Joined: 5/20/06
Posts: 414

4/24/07 9:44:21 PM#2
that site is BS since Turbine announced  600k pre-orders one month ago.
  cityzen

Novice Member

Joined: 4/12/05
Posts: 311

 
OP  4/24/07 9:45:55 PM#3
Originally posted by Quingu
that this is BS since Turbine announced  600k pre-orders one month ago.
Doesn't mean that they all subscribed.

------------------------------------

  homeskillet

Novice Member

Joined: 4/08/07
Posts: 122

4/24/07 9:49:30 PM#4
200k to start out the first few months but it should grow to the 500-600k mark after the game settles. I expect something similar to the EQ2 population.

Anyone expecting LOTRO to top WoW is in denial.
  Zarraa

Novice Member

Joined: 10/01/06
Posts: 484

"Lunatic Fringe."

4/24/07 10:53:04 PM#5
Originally posted by homeskillet
200k to start out the first few months but it should grow to the 500-600k mark after the game settles. I expect something similar to the EQ2 population.

Anyone expecting LOTRO to top WoW is in denial.

And anyone who claims to know how many subs a title is capable of has no clue what their talking about.
Like someone accurately predicted WOW's current mammoth subscriber base back in 2004.....please.

Dutchess Zarraa Voltayre
Reborn/Zero Sum/Ancient Legacy/Jagged Legion/Feared/Nuke & Pave.

  Svayvti

Novice Member

Joined: 11/11/05
Posts: 160

4/24/07 10:58:52 PM#6
They had 600k pre-orders before open beta even started, which topped well over 600k open beta accounts.

Plus an aggressive release which will feature the MMO even in walmart so every complete noob can pick it up.
Yet you seriously think nobody is going to buy the game, nobody from open beta will stay, and a 3rd of the pre-orders will quit... because?

This is no buggy launch like vanguard, saga of ryzom, AO, Horizons, etc.

LotRO might not be bigger than WoW, but it is guaranteed to be in a subscriber category alone with it.
  User Deleted
4/24/07 11:01:06 PM#7
I heard that there would be at least eleven or twelve people playing this game, but who knows? There could be even more!
  cityzen

Novice Member

Joined: 4/12/05
Posts: 311

 
OP  4/24/07 11:32:06 PM#8
Originally posted by Svayvti
They had 600k pre-orders before open beta even started, which topped well over 600k open beta accounts.

Plus an aggressive release which will feature the MMO even in walmart so every complete noob can pick it up.
Yet you seriously think nobody is going to buy the game, nobody from open beta will stay, and a 3rd of the pre-orders will quit... because?

This is no buggy launch like vanguard, saga of ryzom, AO, Horizons, etc.

LotRO might not be bigger than WoW, but it is guaranteed to be in a subscriber category alone with it.


I wouldn't take the guy too seriously. But he does bring up some interesting points. Reasons people would preorder and not subscribe could be many. This poll/thread was only for the first number we will hear from Turbine on how many subscribers there are.

I'll add some options, only vote once please.

More numbers

< 100K
> 2M
> 3M
(login to vote)

------------------------------------

  ianubisi

Novice Member

Joined: 11/28/03
Posts: 4219

E: 86% A: 60%
S: 46% K: 6%

4/24/07 11:40:54 PM#9

The brand name will sell it in the millions, or not at all. Either it will sit at a respectable 250K or it will skyrocket up in the millions.

Quality is not the only watermark of a successful product. Recognition is an extremely powerful marketing entity. If you can bind the two together, you get the license to print your own money like Blizzard was able to do.

LOTRO is capable of this feat. We'll just have to see how the general public (meaning, people who do not read this website) feel about it.

  zaxtor99

Apprentice Member

Joined: 12/31/03
Posts: 1793

4/25/07 12:18:37 AM#10

In six months, Lord of the Rings Online will reach a MINIMUM of 3 MILLION subscribers. Just watch. Laugh now. Flame now. Whatever. But wait the six months and come back and throw this in my face if I am wrong.


- Zaxx

  Thorsnes

Novice Member

Joined: 4/12/07
Posts: 462

D'oh!

4/25/07 1:23:55 AM#11
Six months from now I will hopefully be playing WarHammer Online... ...and there's no way LoTR:O will ever get 8 million+ subscribers. LoTR:O is only a phenomenon within the fanbase, while World of WarCraft has a far wider audience. The game will probably be a big hit tho'.
  Kenze

Novice Member

Joined: 4/24/07
Posts: 1235

4/25/07 1:39:20 AM#12
 I had never heard of Warcraft before World of Warcraft.. but I ve known of Lord of the Rings since early childhood.
I think LoTRO will do very well I doubt it will every deThrone WoW but all the other MMos better get ready to slide down a notch

Watch your thoughts; they become words.
Watch your words; they become actions.
Watch your actions; they become habits.
Watch your habits; they become character.
Watch your character; it becomes your destiny.
—Lao-Tze

  DeadJester

Novice Member

Joined: 1/12/06
Posts: 510

My Man!

4/25/07 1:46:31 AM#13

this game will hover around 300k not bad not great there are 2 many games coming out for this game to be uber  but it will be a good game for a long time  and i was not counting all the gold farmers so like 350 k

 

  User Deleted
4/25/07 1:46:42 AM#14

Well as of now there are 18 servers.  If you figure roughly 20k capacity for a server (not logged capacity), then you have a number up around 360k right now as a ballpark.  Even being conservative, they probably have over 300k subs.

I'm willing to bet it will grow as well.

  druarc

Novice Member

Joined: 8/12/03
Posts: 182

"Phhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh"
Bill the cat

4/25/07 2:57:49 AM#15
The name alone should pull in some decent numbers, a bit like SWG did, lets just hope they don't go changing the game too much ;)

Even though I preordered and played in the open beta I've yet to get my copy, in fact won't get it till May cause we poor buggers in NZ are 2nd class citz

So you'll see another small bump in subscribers once we all get on board ;).
  DonnieBrasco

Novice Member

Joined: 7/25/06
Posts: 1798

Achiever 80.00%
Explorer 60.00%
Killer 46.67%,
Socializer 13.33%

4/25/07 3:42:04 AM#16
Originally posted by DeadJester

this game will hover around 300k not bad not great there are 2 many games coming out for this game to be uber  but it will be a good game for a long time  and i was not counting all the gold farmers so like 350 k

 

A clue for you: LOTR universe/lore is many many years old and known by billions.

There is no such thing as EQ/Warcraft/Warhammer/etc lore outside the computer and the roleplay world - which is a couple million ppl at BEST.


DB

Denial makes one look a lot dumber than he/she actually is.

  DeadJester

Novice Member

Joined: 1/12/06
Posts: 510

My Man!

4/25/07 3:50:19 AM#17
Originally posted by DonnieBrasco
Originally posted by DeadJester

this game will hover around 300k not bad not great there are 2 many games coming out for this game to be uber  but it will be a good game for a long time  and i was not counting all the gold farmers so like 350 k

 

A clue for you: LOTR universe/lore is many many years old and known by billions.

There is no such thing as EQ/Warcraft/Warhammer/etc lore outside the computer and the roleplay world - which is a couple million ppl at BEST.


DB


and what does that have to do with the online game?  Star wars has the same kind of fan base so does Dungens and Dragons so what your point just because the IP is good and is known  by BILLIONS doesnt  mean a BILLION players will play it
  DonnieBrasco

Novice Member

Joined: 7/25/06
Posts: 1798

Achiever 80.00%
Explorer 60.00%
Killer 46.67%,
Socializer 13.33%

4/25/07 4:00:33 AM#18
Originally posted by DeadJester
Originally posted by DonnieBrasco
Originally posted by DeadJester

this game will hover around 300k not bad not great there are 2 many games coming out for this game to be uber  but it will be a good game for a long time  and i was not counting all the gold farmers so like 350 k

 

A clue for you: LOTR universe/lore is many many years old and known by billions.

There is no such thing as EQ/Warcraft/Warhammer/etc lore outside the computer and the roleplay world - which is a couple million ppl at BEST.


DB


and what does that have to do with the online game?  Star wars has the same kind of fan base so does Dungens and Dragons so what your point just because the IP is good and is known  by BILLIONS doesnt  mean a BILLION players will play it

Noone was talking about a billion players.

Wow has broadened the MMOG genre and LOTR has a huge fanbase. (DnD fanbase don't make me laugh trying to compare :)) This is their chance to jump in.

BTW a beautiful, solid, fun to play and very accessible game should have more than 500k subscribers on its own merits, no need for a huge IP anyway...

DB

 

Denial makes one look a lot dumber than he/she actually is.

  DeadJester

Novice Member

Joined: 1/12/06
Posts: 510

My Man!

4/25/07 4:05:38 AM#19
Originally posted by DonnieBrasco
Originally posted by DeadJester
Originally posted by DonnieBrasco
Originally posted by DeadJester

this game will hover around 300k not bad not great there are 2 many games coming out for this game to be uber  but it will be a good game for a long time  and i was not counting all the gold farmers so like 350 k

 

A clue for you: LOTR universe/lore is many many years old and known by billions.

There is no such thing as EQ/Warcraft/Warhammer/etc lore outside the computer and the roleplay world - which is a couple million ppl at BEST.


DB


and what does that have to do with the online game?  Star wars has the same kind of fan base so does Dungens and Dragons so what your point just because the IP is good and is known  by BILLIONS doesnt  mean a BILLION players will play it

Noone was talking about a billion players.

Wow has broadened the MMOG genre and LOTR has a huge fanbase. (DnD fanbase don't make me laugh trying to compare :)) This is their chance to jump in.

BTW a beautiful, solid, fun to play and very accessible game should have more than 500k subscribers on its own merits, no need for a huge IP anyway...

DB

 

ok well when  AoC and WAR come out and your player base will take a hit and like I said be around 350k
  kwai

Advanced Member

Joined: 12/27/04
Posts: 847

In nomine Patris, et Filii, et Spiritus Sancti.

4/25/07 4:06:07 AM#20
Well the LOTRO player base is more based on the PvE carebears i think since they announced from the start that it would allmost be impossible to grief players / pvp / pk them.
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