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10/02/12 5:16:18 AM#141
Originally posted by JackdogOriginally posted by IPolygon They have to tell their investors at some point. |
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10/02/12 5:20:47 AM#142
Originally posted by SlickShoes I'll clarify my statement slick just for you :) What I meant by that was NA , more so in Canada then anything, because around these parts those expacs go like hot cakes, and considering that NA 's population is triple then the UK's it's not a good thing that MOP is still on shelves is what I am getting at, but in your case even if there are expacs on the shelf that early on the previous expacs further stregthens my point that the game isn't doing well anymore , and you just proved that in other countrys people are fed up.
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10/02/12 6:15:32 AM#143
Originally posted by Aeolron We need Blizzard to release sales figures first but to expect it to be the same or more than Cata is just crazy the game has about 3 million less players overall than when the last expansion released so I would expect sales of MoP to be down by at least half a million. Ofcourse people are fed up the game is about 8 years old, I have played it for about 6 years on and off and some of those breaks I have taken have been more than year, I can't even imagine how burnt out someone must feel to play the same game for 8 years solid. All I was saying in my last post was that every WoW expansion is on UK shelves right after release so this one seems no different. The population of NA is also much more than triple that of the UK there are 62 million in the UK and around 350 million in north america. ![]() |
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10/02/12 7:15:08 AM#144
Why believe any doomsayers till we know how the digital sales went. As many have said unless you wanted the physical CD or the music/Art DVD there was no incentive to not buy digitally.
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10/02/12 7:26:57 AM#145
Originally posted by Jackdog when blizzard broke sales records - it was announced a week after release http://us.blizzard.com/en-us/company/press/pressreleases.html Dec 7: Cata release Dec 13: Cata sales PR May 15 Diablo 3 release May 23: Diablo3 sales PR -- 8 day wait
Blizzard will probably make an announcement this week |
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10/02/12 8:48:34 AM#146
Originally posted by IPolygon they will wait for the quarterly report if sales are bad, however if sales are spectacular they would have already been releasing press reports bragging |
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10/02/12 8:53:56 AM#147
Originally posted by Zeppelin4 GW2 is B2P and does not have subs. I'm taking a shot of vodka every time I see a reference to go back to WoW. |
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10/02/12 8:58:45 AM#148
Originally posted by Jackdog Every game that they released broke some kind of a record and yet they posted a week after the release. So you really have no ground with statements like this. Whether MoP is a flop or not, we will find out about probably this week.
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10/02/12 9:45:31 AM#149
another analyst says MOP will see 4.5 million units by Q3 http://venturebeat.com/2012/09/27/world-of-warcraft-mists-of-pandaria-performance-disappointing/ Update: Analysts at investment bank Brean Murray, Carrett & Co. are also weighing in on World of Warcraft: Mists of Pandaria’s financial impact, and they’re painting a rosier picture. They believe the expansion pack will be a key driver of publisher Activision Blizzard’s third quarter 2012 revenue growth. “We think recent reports of weak retail sales for Mists of Pandaria may fail to reflect a channel shift toward a greater percentage of digital sales,” they said. “More than 1 million people bought premium subscriptions, which bundled a year-long subscription with a copy of Diablo III. We look for the premium subscribers to not only pick up the expansion but for a significant portion of them to download it through the Battle.net platform, which should offer high margin revenue.” Brean Murray estimates 4.5 million units of Mists of Pandaria will be sold in the third quarter despite competition from free-to-play titles and NCSoft’s massively multiplayer online role-playing game Guild Wars 2, which has sold over 2 million copies. It also expects subscriber numbers to increase from 9.1 million to 9.8 million by the end of the third quarter. GamesBeat has contacted Blizzard about this story and will update if there is a response.
edit: personally, i think this analyst is overreaching Blizzard Q3 ended Sept 30 - 2 days ago |
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10/02/12 9:53:42 AM#150
Originally posted by fixif I don't think this one broke anything except their winnng streak, you don't go atround bragging about your current product did worse than the last |
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10/02/12 10:06:44 AM#151
Originally posted by Nadia Sundays XFire numbers were the equivelent of last Mays numberswhich were around 63K. For comparison January 22 2012 was the last ime WoW broke 100K. historical data https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AimCXydAYDLYdHUwWGhfWXg2S3pVWFY5QjcxOWlLRUE#gid=0 you can also look at the web site traffic data here http://www.alexa.com/siteinfo/blizzard.com and here http://www.quantcast.com/blizzard.com I don't see any significant bump in web site traffic to back up a increase in public interest. On the other hand it does not take a rocket scientist to guess when Diablo III was released every one is entitled to their opinion of course
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10/03/12 4:18:15 AM#152
It's been a week and still no official "first day" sales numbers.
I think this is the first real evidence that something might be wrong. |
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10/03/12 8:32:34 AM#153
Originally posted by Zeppelin4 Do not worry. Go instead to play game you enjoy if you do hate pandas or Blizzard. So far game is a blast as all expansions. And have never heard about some company going only up. When you are at the top (and nobody long long long below) is hard to stay at very top. But for sure you are still the best. |
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10/03/12 11:38:15 AM#154
To me this speaks volumes http://uk.ign.com/articles/2010/12/13/world-of-warcraft-cataclysm-sales-explode The artical is dated december 13 th 2010 exactly 6 days after Cataclysm was released . Blizzard couldn't wait to release the sales figures to the worlds press . MoP was released 8 days ago so logically Blizzard should know what the release day sales were . Thus far there has been no similar announcement . I suspect if sales had been impressive Blizzard would be singing the fact from the rooftops by now . Every day that now passes without an announcement from Blizzard makes it more likly the figures have been disapointing . |
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10/03/12 11:41:58 AM#155
Originally posted by roo67 That is the problem with cheering on your numbers when they're good, it becomes very apparent when they aren't good.
They've done that before, when they were having problems in China and their subscribers where shrinking. They were quiet for the longest time and then finally they got the game approved back into China, momentarily hit a new high and screamed it from the rooftops.
I know that no company wants to show how well it is really doing, the main fear being that if they show the declines or show that they are doing badly it might drive off more people. But I would just love for a company to come out that kept a daily update of their subscribers and their peak concurrent users for the day. A flat out honest company with nothing to hide. |
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10/03/12 11:50:52 AM#156
Originally posted by SnarlingWolf I remember when EQ used to show how many players were online at server select - until DAOC launched, then SOE revised the server lists to not show active population
ncsoft used to give quarterly sub counts by region for all their mmos, including a 2 year qtrly history but they stopped doing that in 2008 with the disappointment of Tabula Rasa |
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darkhalf357x
Elite Member
Joined: 1/25/12
I'm only playing the role chosen for me. Who you supposed to be? |
10/03/12 11:55:59 AM#157
Didnt read the whole thread - so not sure if anyone seen or posted this - http://massively.joystiq.com/2012/10/01/analysts-mists-of-pandaria-sales-not-so-disappointing/ I guess the disappointing sales were not as disappointing. Anybody who is in finance (of which I am) will tell you - they make this stuff up and you cant use it as fact. Just look at the financial crisis for proof... |
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10/03/12 11:56:39 AM#158
Originally posted by Nadia Exactly, everyone is so afraid of the "bad news" that they do everything they can to hide it.
What is so wrong with honesty? Yeah, a new game came out so some of your players left. What a shocker, news at 11. Companies spend so much time trying to twist things by releasing data like "registered accounts" or hiding how many people are logged in, changing the definition of high on a server list, etc. They also spend a lot of time hiding or disguising how many people they have working on the project. Maybe people would have more realistic expectations, specifically for smaller companies/games, if they came out and said "Yeah, we have 10 people working on this".
Just a dream I always have of how much better it could be if everyone just owned up to things. |
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10/03/12 12:06:56 PM#159
Originally posted by darkhalf357x Yes I did see this earlier today . Apparently Massively wrote in its report. Brean, Murray ,Carrett and Co. estimate by the end of the third quarter 4.5 million units of MoP will be sold . As many people on massively have pointed out already .For this to be accurate every player currently playing WoW( in the areas MoP has been released ) now would have to buy the expansion by the end of the third quarter and also it would have to bring in new players who would also buy MoP in by the end of the third quarter . While this isn't impossible its a very optamistic outlook to say the least and as many other people have said its highly unlikly . |
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10/03/12 12:15:44 PM#160
As I cannot imagine many people who pay a full subscription to wow would not buy mop does this not mean that the real subscription base for wow is 5 million not 9.1, with the rest getting made up by peeps paying per the 1 cent per hour model ( as I understand it) ?
rpg/mmorg history: Bloodwych>Bards Tale 1-3>Eye of the beholder > Might and Magic 2,3,5 > FFVII> Baldur's Gate 1, 2 > Planescape Torment >Morrowind > WOW (9500 hrs on main mage)> oblivion > LOTR (480 Hunter) > Rift (230 hours mage) > Guild Wars (1900hrs elementalist) Vanguard. > GW2(350 elementalist) Now playing GW2/Diablo 3/Rift Waiting Archeage. |
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