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The Pub at MMORPG.COM  » The Next MMO to shut down is...

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80 posts found
  superniceguy

Elite Member

Joined: 2/17/07
Posts: 2277

NGE, LOTRO, STO, KOTOR, Lego Star Wars > NGE 2 (SWTOR). SWG>ALL. Above hopefully subject to change.

 
OP  10/02/12 9:43:57 PM#21
Originally posted by worldalpha
SWTOR or TSW would be shocks as they are so new.

SWTOR may be new but is clearly a financial burden, and if they do not get enough money from subs / F2P then it may have to get shut down, to cut their losses

Vanguard has been going for years on empty servers even as P2P with no content, and now swicthed to F2P, and does not seem to need many subs to stay operating. It is yet to move to ProSieben in EU. There now seems to be a future for it. If SWG did not get shut down, it probably would have done. Actually I think the next SOE game to shut down will be Planetside 1, as that is not going to ProSieben. Vanguard may shut down when EQnext is released, or if they need to shift resources to get it released.

SWTOR has more chance of shutting down than Vanguard

  mmoguy43

Spotlight Poster

Joined: 3/31/09
Posts: 2300

10/02/12 9:44:34 PM#22

Why is WAR not on the list? I would have picked it over these choices.

 

Originally posted by superniceguy
Originally posted by worldalpha
SWTOR or TSW would be shocks as they are so new.

SWTOR may be new but is clearly a financial burden, and if they do not get enough money from subs / F2P then it may have to get shut down, to cut their losses

Vanguard has been going for years on empty servers even as P2P with no content, and now swicthed to F2P, and does not seem to need many subs to stay operating. It is yet to move to ProSieben in EU. There now seems to be a future for it. If SWG did not get shut down, it probably would have done. Actually I think the next SOE game to shut down will be Planetside 1, as that is not going to ProSieben. Vanguard may shut down when EQnext is released, or if they need to shift resources to get it released.

SWTOR has more chance of shutting down than Vanguard

But SWTOR has how many times more players? 3-8 times as many? Nobody in the right mind would pull the plug now or even in the next 1-2 years atleast.

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  Theocritus

Apprentice Member

Joined: 7/15/08
Posts: 3613

10/02/12 9:47:34 PM#23
     I voted for Vanguard but how are UO and AC still going (and people still paying for subs for them!)?
  TheScavenger

Hard Core Member

Joined: 7/05/12
Posts: 681

Those who ask a question, are stupid for 30 seconds. Those who never ask, are stupid for life.

10/02/12 9:49:24 PM#24
I voted for Guild Wars 2. While I may be in the minority (only 5%), NCsoft is a horrid company and will shut down games even making a profit (while very small, it was still profit). And seeing as GW2 didn't do as well as they hoped, NCsoft acts rash and abandons games as quick as flipping a quarter. They've done it to Tabula Rasa, Auto Assault and now City of Heroes.

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  KyngBills

Novice Member

Joined: 6/13/06
Posts: 452

10/02/12 9:49:51 PM#25
I really doubt the Freemium is going to save SWTOR, but we'll see...I agree with those who feel TOR is in danger due to it's immense cost...They are trying to dig out of one hell of a ditch...And even this early, the talking heads at EA have given no guarantees about the future of that game...In fact they have even hinted it could shut down if the F2P is not a success...So...
  phantomghost

Hard Core Member

Joined: 11/05/11
Posts: 635

"Kill me, my man kills you, that's how you lose."

10/02/12 9:49:59 PM#26

[mod edit]

 

Hopefully all the Give me gear, money, and items for doing nothing or very minimal MMO's.

 

 

"I see they watchin' me and takin' notes on my moves, Run up on me it's all I want I ain't got nothin' to lose."

  Rokurgepta

Novice Member

Joined: 8/15/08
Posts: 2208

10/02/12 9:52:41 PM#27
Originally posted by TheScavenger
I voted for Guild Wars 2. While I may be in the minority (only 5%), NCsoft is a horrid company and will shut down games even making a profit (while very small, it was still profit). And seeing as GW2 didn't do as well as they hoped, NCsoft acts rash and abandons games as quick as flipping a quarter. They've done it to Tabula Rasa, Auto Assault and now City of Heroes.

 Didnt do as well as they hoped? Not true.

 

Tabula rasa was a disaster of a game. It had to be shut down.

  superniceguy

Elite Member

Joined: 2/17/07
Posts: 2277

NGE, LOTRO, STO, KOTOR, Lego Star Wars > NGE 2 (SWTOR). SWG>ALL. Above hopefully subject to change.

 
OP  10/02/12 9:54:46 PM#28
Originally posted by mmoguy43

Why is WAR not on the list? I would have picked it over these choices.

 

Originally posted by superniceguy
Originally posted by worldalpha
SWTOR or TSW would be shocks as they are so new.

SWTOR may be new but is clearly a financial burden, and if they do not get enough money from subs / F2P then it may have to get shut down, to cut their losses

Vanguard has been going for years on empty servers even as P2P with no content, and now swicthed to F2P, and does not seem to need many subs to stay operating. It is yet to move to ProSieben in EU. There now seems to be a future for it. If SWG did not get shut down, it probably would have done. Actually I think the next SOE game to shut down will be Planetside 1, as that is not going to ProSieben. Vanguard may shut down when EQnext is released, or if they need to shift resources to get it released.

SWTOR has more chance of shutting down than Vanguard

But SWTOR has how many times more players? 3-8 times as many? Nobody in the right mind would pull the plug now or even in the next 1-2 years atleast.

But other MMOs do not need 500K subs to remain profitable. Once it goes F2P most people will just play for free, as most people quit because the game is not worth paying for. If the game is going to cost EA to keep going, and they lose money from it, then they will have to pull the plug. That is the impression that EA keep giving. They are hoping that with F2P millions will play, and they will get their 500K subs, but I think its going to back fire, and those subbing will even quit and play for free, and lose even more

WAR not on list as not enough choices

 

  Leoghan

Novice Member

Joined: 12/27/03
Posts: 611

10/02/12 9:54:49 PM#29
Originally posted by mmoguy43

Why is WAR not on the list? I would have picked it over these choices.

 

Originally posted by superniceguy
Originally posted by worldalpha
SWTOR or TSW would be shocks as they are so new.

SWTOR may be new but is clearly a financial burden, and if they do not get enough money from subs / F2P then it may have to get shut down, to cut their losses

Vanguard has been going for years on empty servers even as P2P with no content, and now swicthed to F2P, and does not seem to need many subs to stay operating. It is yet to move to ProSieben in EU. There now seems to be a future for it. If SWG did not get shut down, it probably would have done. Actually I think the next SOE game to shut down will be Planetside 1, as that is not going to ProSieben. Vanguard may shut down when EQnext is released, or if they need to shift resources to get it released.

SWTOR has more chance of shutting down than Vanguard

But SWTOR has how many times more players? 3-8 times as many? Nobody in the right mind would pull the plug now or even in the next 1-2 years atleast.

Now don't get me wrong I don't think SWTOR is going to close, it is not the juggernaut that it was expected to be by a long shot, but I don't think it'll shut down any time soon. 

 

That said, comparing Vanguard to SWTOR is comparing apples to oranges. First Vanguard has what one server now? Has almost no staff and has been suriving on life support for years (almost since launch). It is a niche game to the core and accepts its place there and accepts its place as SOE's red headed step child (almost literally). 

With SWTOR, you have a game that was expected to crush things (some even whispered WoW killer in beta), you have a game that cost more than Vanguard has probably earned in the last two to three years possibly ever. They've consolidated servers a great deal before the one year mark, though some of the consolidation was to move to higher population servers. And now they are going free to play. 

You see Vanguard isn't a cash cow, but it is still producing a steady stream of milk, SWTOR on the other hand is a cow that's been spooked and the farmer is waiting to see how bad the milk will be when she starts giving milk again. 

  TheScavenger

Hard Core Member

Joined: 7/05/12
Posts: 681

Those who ask a question, are stupid for 30 seconds. Those who never ask, are stupid for life.

10/02/12 9:56:32 PM#30
Originally posted by Rokurgepta
Originally posted by TheScavenger
I voted for Guild Wars 2. While I may be in the minority (only 5%), NCsoft is a horrid company and will shut down games even making a profit (while very small, it was still profit). And seeing as GW2 didn't do as well as they hoped, NCsoft acts rash and abandons games as quick as flipping a quarter. They've done it to Tabula Rasa, Auto Assault and now City of Heroes.

 Didnt do as well as they hoped? Not true.

 

Tabula rasa was a disaster of a game. It had to be shut down.

 

They scammed Richard Garriot and tried to take his money, luckily the courts saw the evil ways of NCsoft and Richard Garriot won. It was an amazing game, and was slowly making back players (as of a month before it shut down). NCsoft wasn't seeing instant profit, and thought they would make a quick buck scamming Garriot, and failed.

Pretty common knowledge if you kept up with the Tabula Rasa news stories. Like I said, GW2 was supposed to outsell WoW (was said a lot by many on here). NCsoft will shut down games, keep the license to themselves if they see one dollar less than they expected.

That is true with CoH, Tabula and Auto Assault. If you read up on CoH (though not much coming out right now) and what NCsoft tried to do with Garriot, you wouldn't be surprised by anything NCsoft does.

 

(edit: Fixed first sentence, I mistyped what it was meant to say)

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  SimLee

Novice Member

Joined: 11/30/07
Posts: 6

10/02/12 9:57:06 PM#31
Originally posted by GeezerGamer

Anarchy Online should be in that list.

Sad but true. In the past couple years this game has butchered and is running on fumes.

  aRtFuLThinG

Advanced Member

Joined: 4/30/09
Posts: 1011

10/02/12 9:59:09 PM#32

Originally posted by axishatr

WWIIOL

 

Originally posted by grimal
Mortal Online?

These 2 most likely... not any of the ones on the list.

 

Subs might be low on swtor or tsw but they are nowhere NEAR finish. If Anarchy Online can last for so long I don't see how these will get wrapped up so soon.

 

MO and WWIIOL truely has no money nor subs nor developers left.

  aRtFuLThinG

Advanced Member

Joined: 4/30/09
Posts: 1011

10/02/12 10:00:37 PM#33
Originally posted by SimLee
Originally posted by GeezerGamer

Anarchy Online should be in that list.

Sad but true. In the past couple years this game has butchered and is running on fumes.

Anarchy Online is seriously old now though, it was old even a couple of years ago.

If it dies it is not a fail but rather should be celebrated for it's longevity.

  xalvi

Novice Member

Joined: 12/17/10
Posts: 343

10/02/12 10:14:47 PM#34
i voted for Guild wars 2....because it's monthly subscription model won't last. 
  Rokurgepta

Novice Member

Joined: 8/15/08
Posts: 2208

10/02/12 11:04:40 PM#35
Originally posted by TheScavenger
Originally posted by Rokurgepta
Originally posted by TheScavenger
I voted for Guild Wars 2. While I may be in the minority (only 5%), NCsoft is a horrid company and will shut down games even making a profit (while very small, it was still profit). And seeing as GW2 didn't do as well as they hoped, NCsoft acts rash and abandons games as quick as flipping a quarter. They've done it to Tabula Rasa, Auto Assault and now City of Heroes.

 Didnt do as well as they hoped? Not true.

 

Tabula rasa was a disaster of a game. It had to be shut down.

 

They scammed Richard Garriot and tried to take his money, luckily the courts saw the evil ways of NCsoft and Richard Garriot won. It was an amazing game, and was slowly making back players (as of a month before it shut down). NCsoft wasn't seeing instant profit, and thought they would make a quick buck scamming Garriot, and failed.

Pretty common knowledge if you kept up with the Tabula Rasa news stories. Like I said, GW2 was supposed to outsell WoW (was said a lot by many on here). NCsoft will shut down games, keep the license to themselves if they see one dollar less than they expected.

That is true with CoH, Tabula and Auto Assault. If you read up on CoH (though not much coming out right now) and what NCsoft tried to do with Garriot, you wouldn't be surprised by anything NCsoft does.

 

(edit: Fixed first sentence, I mistyped what it was meant to say)

 Yeah the tried to screw Garriot but the reason people came back was BECAUSE it was shutting down. If you read NcSoft financials the quarter before they announced the shut down Tabula Rasa went from like 28k players to 17k. The game was not that good. It could have been great but it was not good. Could have been amazing but after level 30 the game was a walking disaster.

 

GW2 was supposed to outsell Wow? You are making things up. One guy at Anet said that their goal was to beat WoW. No one but you took that to mean they were SUPPOSED to outsell WoW. It was one comment that probably should not have been made. If they truly thought they would outsell WoW like you claim they would not have been short servers at launch now would they?

  just1opinion

Smart-Alek

Joined: 8/14/07
Posts: 4933

10/03/12 10:17:37 AM#36
Originally posted by xalvi
i voted for Guild wars 2....because it's monthly subscription model won't last. 

 

Very funny.  Yeah it does have a really expensive sub. 

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  dave6660

Advanced Member

Joined: 9/26/08
Posts: 2338

"Next time I see you, remind me not to talk to you."

10/03/12 12:04:52 PM#37
Originally posted by mmoguy43

Why is WAR not on the list? I would have picked it over these choices.

 

Originally posted by superniceguy
Originally posted by worldalpha
SWTOR or TSW would be shocks as they are so new.

SWTOR may be new but is clearly a financial burden, and if they do not get enough money from subs / F2P then it may have to get shut down, to cut their losses

Vanguard has been going for years on empty servers even as P2P with no content, and now swicthed to F2P, and does not seem to need many subs to stay operating. It is yet to move to ProSieben in EU. There now seems to be a future for it. If SWG did not get shut down, it probably would have done. Actually I think the next SOE game to shut down will be Planetside 1, as that is not going to ProSieben. Vanguard may shut down when EQnext is released, or if they need to shift resources to get it released.

SWTOR has more chance of shutting down than Vanguard

But SWTOR has how many times more players? 3-8 times as many? Nobody in the right mind would pull the plug now or even in the next 1-2 years atleast.

Well the number of players is only one variable in the equation.  How much does it cost them to keep the game running?  Even if it making a profit, do they consider it enough to warrant the resources that goes into it?  Or could those resources be better utilized somewhere else...

"Why so serious?"
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  dave6660

Advanced Member

Joined: 9/26/08
Posts: 2338

"Next time I see you, remind me not to talk to you."

10/03/12 12:05:45 PM#38
Originally posted by just1opinion
Originally posted by xalvi
i voted for Guild wars 2....because it's monthly subscription model won't last. 

 

Very funny.  Yeah it does have a really expensive sub. 

Hell yeah... zero is way too high.  They would need to pay me to play :)

"Why so serious?"
-- The Joker

  ShakyMo

Apprentice Member

Joined: 11/21/11
Posts: 7246

10/03/12 12:21:52 PM#39
Everything EA
UO, DAOC, WAR possibly SWTOR
  SnarlingWolf

Novice Member

Joined: 6/23/09
Posts: 2728

10/03/12 12:26:40 PM#40

Tough choices really.

 

SW:tOR will not shut down anytime soon, they spent too much on it and want the return and they are in the middle of the F2P conversion.

Vanguarg should have been shut down long ago but for some reason they like to keep it running and just did a F2P transition so it has got some time.

GW2 makes no sense because they've likely alreay recouped most of the investment and will want to get an expansion out asap to profit.

 

I've never understood why people play STO but it seems to keep on chugging with its small population.

 

 

 

So in the end I will have to go with Planetside 1. The game already had a miniscule population and PS2 is likely going to give it the death blow.

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