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Guild Wars 2

Guild Wars 2 

General Discussion  » Official Xfire Topic - Population is declining

4 Pages « 1 2 3 4 Search
70 posts found
  RefMinor

Advanced Member

Joined: 7/16/11
Posts: 3545

Hipster

9/28/12 9:50:46 AM#61
Originally posted by bcbully
Originally posted by NBlitz

Déjà vu like woah. The same Xfire topics, with the same arguments used by both sides for the past few years ever since discovering this website in 2008. No big launch since has been spared.

Who's lined up next?

Who has been correct? Xfire number supporters or Xfire number deniers?

The XFire numbers which were collected daily for SWTOR correlated pretty well with the reports from EA to their shareholders over a period of 6 months.

They also showed larger drops around the 2 and 4 month periods when single and 3 month subs expired. They even showed the peaks when the trial weekends were originally on offer, peaks which declined over time as people stopped using the free trial in such large numbers.

You cannot use XFire to predict actual population numbers or to compare populations between games but anyone denying their statistical relevance in showing the population trend for a single game is, quite frankly, a fool.

  bcbully

Elite Member

Joined: 3/03/12
Posts: 7476

9/28/12 9:50:50 AM#62

According to this. GW2 looks almost EXACTLY like swtor as far as xfire is concerned, through the first month.

 

 

DATE SWTOR WOW SWTOR/WOW
Dec 24th    62k hours    79k hours      78%
Dec 31st 63k hours 72k hours 88%
Jan 7th 73k hours 102k hours 72%
Jan 14th 68k hours 101k hours 67%
Jan 21st 56k hours 96k hours 58%
Jan 28th 40k hours 98k hours 41%
Feb 4th 44k hours 82k hours 54%
Feb 11th 39k hours 89k hours 44%

 

http://www.mmorpg.com/gamelist.cfm/game/473/view/forums/post/4748640#4748640

I'm still looking for the actual graph.

  lizardbones

Elite Member

Joined: 6/11/08
Posts: 10937

I think with my heart and move with my head.-Kongos

9/28/12 9:51:01 AM#63


Originally posted by Loktofeit

Originally posted by bcbully Can I get a smart person with a niffty application to overlay GW2s graph with RIFT, SWTOR and TSW's graphs please?! It would be neat to compare first month slides.
That's not a bad idea. I would also include LOTRO in that, and the two overlays i would do:

- the first six months of each game after their release

- the past six months




Add to it the overall XFire population, so you can see how each game's population is changing in relation to the overall population. Perhaps you could even just show the overall population for the games being represented in the report.

** edit **

XFire has a set of XML feeds, but I haven't found anything more than general game information. Nothing on number of hours played or number of logged in players. Nothing about historical information either.

I can not remember winning or losing a single debate on the internet.

  Volkon

Novice Member

Joined: 9/14/10
Posts: 3813

Facts do not require fiction for balance.

9/28/12 9:53:44 AM#64
Originally posted by ForumPvP

Since they cant go free 2 play then what can they do ?

drop box prize ? maybe even make it completely free?

add weapons and armors to cash shop ?

lower gold gain for people who play and lower  other drop rates so they use cash shop more ?

or what?

 

How about continue to add new content and polish existing, continue to refine the game based on sensible user feedback (crafting pulling from banks... BRILLIANT!), continue with plans to release expansions periodically (that's right Jormag, we'll be coming for you soon...), wow us with amazing holiday events (using GW1 as a baseline there) and ride on the fact that they've created a great game that continues to hold a huge population?

 

45 minutes last night to get into a Borderlands for WvW, and I entered at 10PM eastern US time from Jade Quarry. In the meantime, I got 100% completion on the map zone with the Arah dungeon (forget the name). Everywhere I went there were plenty of people about helping out with skill challenges, etc. I reluctantly logged out near midnight and you know... I had as much fun last night as the others.

 

I'm really looking forwards to the Halloween event.

Oderint, dum metuant.

  krakra70

Advanced Member

Joined: 9/05/12
Posts: 127

9/28/12 9:59:33 AM#65
Originally posted by bcbully
Originally posted by Loktofeit
Originally posted by bcbully
Originally posted by NBlitz

Déjà vu like woah. The same Xfire topics, with the same arguments used by both sides for the past few years ever since discovering this website in 2008. No big launch since has been spared.

Who's lined up next?

Who has been correct? Xfire number supporters or Xfire number deniers?

Supporters are right for the wrong reasons. Yes, after the first month, the amount of time spent logged in and the frequency of logging in drops. While there can be decline, this does not indicate decline as it is the natural pattern of player behaviour for every popular video game on every platform ever released. Ever.

For a sub MMO, a much more valid assessment - not to say XFire is a total authority here - would be to compare numbers on days 30, 35*, 90, 95*, 180 and 360. Since GW2 isn't sub based, comparing monthly data over the course of six months or a year would offer far greater insight. In either case, claiming the population is declining during Week 5 of an MMO is a sophmoric display of a lack of understanding of the available data or even history itself.

 

*to account for lapsing/cancellation of 30-day and 3-month subs.

Agreed for the most part, I don't think we need 6 months to see a trend though. I do think GW2 needs to bottom out to get a stronger corralation between hours and players. 

 

Can I get a smart person with a niffty application to overlay GW2s graph with RIFT, SWTOR and TSW's graphs please?! It would be neat to compare first month slides.

http://i.imgur.com/NVi0R.png here is something similar I just made. 

  bcbully

Elite Member

Joined: 3/03/12
Posts: 7476

9/28/12 10:02:12 AM#66

I found a swtor 1st month graph. Notice something similar?

Nearly the exact same Xfire numbers at laucnh and after 1 month.

  Zhauric

Novice Member

Joined: 7/02/07
Posts: 294

9/28/12 10:03:37 AM#67

This is so silly to me...

So according to this Xfire which a poll has been illustrating barely anyone who plays the game even uses (myself included) GW 2 is declining since launch. But also according to these forums and xfire or merely posts TSW is declining or merely not gaining any new players, WoW has not had no increase and SWToR is dying.

If that is the case where is everyone then? Or maybe it could be that most of this is really not much in regards to trending information like some wish to believe. Or there are other factors like GW2 released before school started for many people. Polls (since folks seem to enjoy them around here) illustrated a majority of the playerbase was in the age of the average college student. Within a month time school starts which means less gaming (well unless you don't like to give your studies as much time) and less hours that go to that xfire thing for the few handful that even bother to use it.

Guys really...not sure why this deserves yet another multi-page thread when according to everything from polls, xfire and posts all the newly released games and WoW itself are in a decline or seeing no increase in activity/numbers. So all this information in the end provides absolutely nothing.

  krakra70

Advanced Member

Joined: 9/05/12
Posts: 127

9/28/12 10:03:52 AM#68
Originally posted by bcbully

I found a swtor 1st month graph. Notice something similar?

Nearly the exact same Xfire numbers after 1 month.

wow so swtor had a much better retention rate than gw2 in the first month. 

  bcbully

Elite Member

Joined: 3/03/12
Posts: 7476

9/28/12 10:06:05 AM#69
Originally posted by krakra70
Originally posted by bcbully

I found a swtor 1st month graph. Notice something similar?

Nearly the exact same Xfire numbers after 1 month.

wow so swtor had a much better retention rate than gw2 in the first month. 

Yes. 30 days free. Just like GW2. The difference is people played swtor the first 30 THEN did not resub. GW2 has had a constant slide.

  Amana

MMORPG.COM Staff

Joined: 1/03/11
Posts: 2401

9/28/12 10:11:00 AM#70
Please refer to this on why the lock/there wasn't an open topic:  http://www.mmorpg.com/discussion2.cfm/post/5277723#5277723

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