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News & Features Discussion  » Diablo 3: Analyst Predicts 5M Sales

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66 posts found
  Celcius

Advanced Member

Joined: 7/20/04
Posts: 930

3/15/12 3:32:54 PM#41
Originally posted by ZeGerman

Nice to say someone making an bold claim with absolutely no proof demonstrated isn't it.  I'll say right now i do not expect them to break 2.5 million in the first year.  There has been substantialy less interest in this game than in the other major games coming out soon.  If anything they may get a high number of initial buyers because of it is coming out first but the recuring revenue and number of users will drop substantialy as more games come out this year.

Yeah, because people who get paid to analyse the number of sales for a living have no proof of anything. They look at data for current and past trends,company history,statistical propability,ect in order to determine these numbers. They don't just pull stuff out of there ass. Analysts don't make predictions they think will be wrong and usually low ball it just incase so they can keep their credibility in check. If an analyst is wrong enough hes going to have some problems finding a job.

  expresso

Tipster

Joined: 3/10/10
Posts: 2089

3/15/12 3:37:17 PM#42

Bah 2 months :p  I was hopeing for mid april at the latest.. oh well I can wait.  All the info that will appear this weekend from the WoW and D3 press events might tied me over.

  kilun

Hard Core Member

Joined: 12/25/07
Posts: 678

3/15/12 3:45:44 PM#43

ZeGerman, I don't see how they won't get at least 5 million, I think that is a safe bet.  Mass Effect 3 sold 900k in first 24 hrs alone. 


To think that Diablo III won't by the end of year is a stretch, I bet that is reached by end of summer.


Starcraft sold over a million in first 24hrs, and over 3 million in first month alone.


http://kotaku.com/5627224/starcraft-iis-first-month-sales-are-in


Even if we don't count the WoW fanatics, I'd say we'll still hit five million by the end of summer.  I imagine it'll be the best selling game on the pc of the year by far.


  Nadia

Elite Member

Joined: 7/26/03
Posts: 11280

3/15/12 4:20:17 PM#44
Originally posted by kilun

Starcraft sold over a million in first 24hrs, and over 3 million in first month alone.

http://kotaku.com/5627224/starcraft-iis-first-month-sales-are-in


Even if we don't count the WoW fanatics, I'd say we'll still hit five million by the end of summer.  I imagine it'll be the best selling game on the pc of the year by far.

I think D3 will sell great but is Blizzard making the same push as it did w SC2?

 

SC2 launched in 5 continents on launch day

http://kotaku.com/5603199/starcraft-ii-fastest-selling-strategy-game-of-all-time

StarCraft II was released simultaneously in North America, Europe, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand, Russia, Brazil, Chile, Argentina, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, the Philippines, and the regions of Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Macau on July 27.

  khelbon

Apprentice Member

Joined: 3/13/04
Posts: 97

3/15/12 5:41:55 PM#45

They probally got 1 million sold so far.

One thing you have to see is that D3 is gonna have a LOT of people who played D1 or D2 and will buy D3 just for the sake that it is Diablo and its new. I mean hell, there is still thousands of D2 sites out there with plenty people still playing. I just see the game doing well in raw sale numbers. And sometimes a name can simply sell a game. Now a days it seems companies can make a game and sell 2 million copies simply by using a proven game name. Hell, Blizzard could make the next Xpac with flying monkeys who throw poop at you and robot pandas who shoot laser charged noodles at you in it and they would sell 5 million copies just cause it is World of Warcraft and people just gotta have it.

Some people will buy anything cause of the name or how well the last item did not knowing anything. So yes, they will sell 5 million copies no doubt.

Plus not having a sub fee means someone can buy it and play it when they want to and not worry about any sub fees and what not.

Personally, I played D2 a TON back then but I will not be one of the mass people who buy it simply cause there is wayyy to many new games coming out this year and i do not have the time to play like I did back in 2002.

Oh and for goodness sake, I am NOT a Blizzard fanboi. They could shut down tommorrow and I would care less. Just facing facts here.

  EricDanie

Tipster

Joined: 2/10/05
Posts: 2244

3/15/12 5:44:18 PM#46

Originally posted by Nadia






Originally posted by kilun



Starcraft sold over a million in first 24hrs, and over 3 million in first month alone.


http://kotaku.com/5627224/starcraft-iis-first-month-sales-are-in




Even if we don't count the WoW fanatics, I'd say we'll still hit five million by the end of summer.  I imagine it'll be the best selling game on the pc of the year by far.



I think D3 will sell great but is Blizzard making the same push as it did w SC2?



SC2 launched in 5 continents on launch day



http://kotaku.com/5603199/starcraft-ii-fastest-selling-strategy-game-of-all-time


StarCraft II was released simultaneously in North America, Europe, South Korea, Australia, New Zealand, Russia, Brazil, Chile, Argentina, Singapore, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, the Philippines, and the regions of Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Macau on July 27.



 


Why wouldn't it receive the same push, if not a bigger push? Considering the profitable regions, they probably maintained their logistics for future simultaneous releases. 




Edit - Sorry about ridiculous line spacing, dunno what happened.

 





 




 

  Aryas

Novice Member

Joined: 1/21/08
Posts: 344

3/15/12 6:26:42 PM#47

I've had Dildo III on pre-order for months now, and despite some of the lame things I've heard I'll still get it even if it's just for nostalgia value. To me it looks like cack - basically a proper dated game that's been tarted up in the graphics dept and not much else - but I'm willing to take a chance. As it stands right now, I'll probably 'try' and play it once through then uninstall. Then I'll fire up Guildwars 2, which I will also definitely pre-order.


 


That said, if I was broke and could only get one game it would be Guildwars 2. I never got into the original GW mainly because I was too lazy to learn how to play it properly due to having already succumbed to the all-conquering WOW. But GW2 looks incredible and since I'm basically playing Triple Town and not much else right now, I'm going to really make a go of it this time around. I've never been more excited about a computer game until Guildwars 2, period. If it bombs, I'll likely knock gaming on the head altogether.


 


Aryas




EDIT: I'll just add that I've got a lot of respect for the A-Net/NCSoft/GW2 whatever people. They seem dedicated to making a really good game that genuinely represents a step-change in the genre. Given the amount of sub-par wank that comes out these days, that approach defo wins my money.











 




 

Playing: Ableton Live 8
~ ragequitcancelsubdeletegamesmashcomputerkillself ~

  Razeekster

Spotlight Poster

Joined: 7/09/11
Posts: 1874

May the game be ever in your favor.

3/15/12 8:19:39 PM#48

Those of you talking about Guild Wars 2 vs. D3, I'm fairly sure Guild Wars 2 will win. From what I've seen people are by far much more excited for Guild Wars 2 then they are for D3.


Smile

  Dreadblade

Apprentice Member

Joined: 2/26/08
Posts: 398

3/15/12 8:45:58 PM#49
Originally posted by Razeekster

Those of you talking about Guild Wars 2 vs. D3, I'm fairly sure Guild Wars 2 will win. From what I've seen people are by far much more excited for Guild Wars 2 then they are for D3.

I think you really underestimate the number of people that both like the series and are also Blizz fans, I would ventiure to say when the dust settles GW2 won't come close to D3 in sales.

  Eladi

Novice Member

Joined: 11/23/06
Posts: 1047

3/15/12 8:52:50 PM#50

i predict a huge sales at start 2 mill or so and then a huge cryout and drop , D3 is is hype only game, its not that good in reality, can compare it to Sw:tor hype and sales, all yay first month, then it will drop fast. 

  gaeanprayer

Novice Member

Joined: 8/06/08
Posts: 2360

3/15/12 9:00:42 PM#51

Don't know why people are talking about GW2, Rift, SWToR, etc., as if D3 was an MMO that could compete with MMOs. As popular as Diablo 2 was and still is, not even in its prime did it hurt the sale and sub numbers of the games of its time, like EQ. And that was before it became popular to hate Blizzard based on principle.


 


But, kay. Whatever.


"Forums aren't for intelligent discussion; they're for blow-hards with unwavering opinions."

  niceguy3978

Hard Core Member

Joined: 6/14/06
Posts: 1977

3/15/12 11:07:04 PM#52

Originally posted by Dreadblade


Originally posted by WhiteLantern


"The company opines that a million of these sales will come via the World of Warcraft annual pass promotion where players receive D3 for free."


 


And that still counts as a "sale"?



Yeah kinda like SWTOR counts 1 week trials and weekenders as subs



 


How could they have possibly done that since all of the sub announcements came before the 1 week trial and open weekend?


  Maldach

Advanced Member

Joined: 7/11/05
Posts: 396

3/16/12 12:26:40 AM#53

They continue to dumb the game down the longer it sits unreleased. It should have released a year ago. Now it's a game for the mentally challenged.


  Razeekster

Spotlight Poster

Joined: 7/09/11
Posts: 1874

May the game be ever in your favor.

3/16/12 12:40:44 AM#54



Originally posted by Dreadblade






Originally posted by Razeekster





Those of you talking about Guild Wars 2 vs. D3, I'm fairly sure Guild Wars 2 will win. From what I've seen people are by far much more excited for Guild Wars 2 then they are for D3.





I think you really underestimate the number of people that both like the series and are also Blizz fans, I would ventiure to say when the dust settles GW2 won't come close to D3 in sales.







 




I highly doubt that. You seem to have missed all the complaints that Diablo 3 does zero new things then the first two games in the serious. Or the fact that the graphics aren't that great either. And that it's just as grindy as ever. I've seen many people complain about this and most of the people who are buying Diablo 3 are the hardcore fans. Blizzard isn't really enticing any new players with this third installment because, I hate to break it to you, there are much better games out there, and better ones coming out right afterwords. Guild Wars 2 is enticing not only the fanbase of the original Guild Wars, but also tons of new players, simply because of the new amazing mechanics that you don't see in any other mmos out there today. So sorry, but I think that Guild Wars 2 will make bigger sales than Diablo 3.





 

Smile

  Lobotomist

Hard Core Member

Joined: 5/20/07
Posts: 4768

I got so much trouble on my mind Refuse to lose.

3/16/12 1:20:21 AM#55

Ah those analysts ....


you gotta love them


  freegames

Novice Member

Joined: 12/17/10
Posts: 158

3/16/12 1:29:59 AM#56

WoW guarantees at least 1 million and since it is a Blizzard game with the polished gold games there will be millions more.

Remember how WoW did not innovate everything, but put it together in a refreshing way making it the most popular mmorpg ever. Yeah im sure the 10 million that still play think so.

Yes even if they get it for free with a contracted mmo subscription it still counts as a sale or an addition benefit for just being a subscriber. Those that play WoW are happy and those that do not get to complain.

  oubers

Novice Member

Joined: 11/14/11
Posts: 879

3/16/12 1:51:16 AM#57

just to stay on topic and not saying "i am going to play......blablabla".


Analyst Predicts 5M Sales <<<<<<<<<< imho you dont need to be an over pay'd analyst to know this, so this thread is just as informative as me posting here i brushed my teeth this morning.


if they call this news, then this site needs better news spotters.


good advice.....if there is no good news.....make a review or something, dont make articles about things the gamers already know (they will make their own threads :p hehe)


 


  austriacus

Novice Member

Joined: 8/28/07
Posts: 626

3/16/12 4:18:25 AM#58
Originally posted by Dreadblade
Originally posted by Razeekster

Those of you talking about Guild Wars 2 vs. D3, I'm fairly sure Guild Wars 2 will win. From what I've seen people are by far much more excited for Guild Wars 2 then they are for D3.

I think you really underestimate the number of people that both like the series and are also Blizz fans, I would ventiure to say when the dust settles GW2 won't come close to D3 in sales.

D2 didnt make a difference for MMOs back 01 and neither will it now. The competition with GW2 is the same competition it will have with any game. Where do you get this idea that MMOers also play dungeon crawlers? if that were true torchlight would have sold a lot more.

Not saying Diablo wont sell a lot of copies and 5 million or even more is a pretty accurate in my opinion but i think you should sit back, think, and realise that the demographics that these two games cater are as far appart as a SRPG and a MMORPG.

As far as i recall people didnt stop playing WoW when Skyrim came out.(at least not in masses)

  palulalula

Novice Member

Joined: 9/07/11
Posts: 669

3/16/12 7:46:04 AM#59

Originally posted by Nadia


Originally posted by Dreadblade

The thing is Blizz could effectively deliver a one, two punch to GW2, first with D3 and then with the right timing of MoP, GW2 might have a lot of trouble. Say what you want but when WoW launches an Expansion the masses come back even if it is only for 30-60 days.



I think GW2 will be fine


cmon, GW2 had 1 million beta signups in less than 50hrs


http://massively.joystiq.com/2012/02/27/guild-wars-2-beta-signups-peaked-at-4-000-a-minute/


 


 


 



 


You guys are really boring with gw2, it is about  Blizzard King of MMO and RPG and about Diablo, it was nothing there in article about some low budget arena net (or whatsever) game


  Yamota

Elite Member

Joined: 10/05/03
Posts: 6497

"Only cunts name their swords" -The Hound

3/16/12 8:08:09 AM#60

Seeing as Diablo 2 sold 4 million copies after the first year, 5 million is not that hard to believe.


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