http://massively.joystiq.com/2012/01/20/the-force-is-with-swtor-ea-stock-bounces-back-budget-revealed/4#comments

I lol'ed.

So the times is saying 200 mill huh....

And 75-90% retention...wow thats historic...lol

Mark my words, that analyst should get canned.

No way SWTOR will keep that kind of sway; and no way can any analyst truly make professional predictions, when the userbase is still in the *Ooo Shiney* state it's in now.

Challenge Accepted

I say 60% retention rate and it declines with each passing quarter. I also prediuct it going F2P with server merges by the end of the year if it atleast survives the Guild Wars 2 feight train.

What BS WOW didn't have that high a retention rate at it's peak.

John Riccitiello must be spinning his hometown PR machine to death right now.

Of course that guys been the CEO of so many companies he might know half the people who work there.

800 000 subscribers is about twice what I assumed before launch and still think it will get.

I don´t think a single game since Wow have had 75% retention rate and I doubt any other MMO will ever have.

When Wow hit the people buying it the first month already were into MMOs are hardcore Blizzard fans, that will not happen again even for Blizzard.

50% would still be great compared to most games.

Wait for it....

Originally posted by Teala

Wait for it....

 

 

Stopped playing TOR about a week ago.

That said I hope its successfull just to shut those here on MMORPG.com up.

Edit: Whats funny is even if this game retains only 30% thats still 600k subs. Which woudl make it larger then any other westren MMO save for WoW and Runescape.

EA going to all the analysts they're friendly with to override the report from the other day.

The GW2 'you are not my bro'-fist is gonna hurt a lot to SWTOR, to the point getting its playerbase to historic minimals.

Ya, despite my enjoyment in the game, that speculation is extreme. I know it will be above 60%, but definitely below 90%. So I'll go with the median of 75% as my guess.

Originally posted by Mephster

I say 60% retention rate and it declines with each passing quarter. I also prediuct it going F2P with server merges by the end of the year if it atleast survives the Guild Wars 2 feight train.

lol, sto took over a year to go ftp, go troll somewhere else, swtor is the next wow till titan is out and cutting its teeth.

I don't see how something like this is even predictable.

Originally posted by Davirok

The GW2 'you are not my bro'-fist is gonna hurt a lot to SWTOR, to the point getting its playerbase to historic minimals.

No offense, I love the fact GW and GW2 are F2P, but isn't it a little hard to compare a F2P vs. P2P? Granted, GW2 could sell a billion copies at launch, but how do you show how well its doing afterwards?

Originally posted by Davirok

The GW2 'you are not my bro'-fist is gonna hurt a lot to SWTOR, to the point getting its playerbase to historic minimals.

Yes I remember when LOTRO went F2P, I dropped my WoW sub then and there because I knew that there was no way I could enjoy two games and once.

NO, wait I did neither of those.

http://www.facebook.com/questions/10150504120398860/?qa_ref=qd

Relavent.

I think its rather interesting that 1/3 of those who voted have yet to play but want to.

Originally posted by uohaloran

I don't see how something like this is even predictable.

  It's not.

  Analysts, much like Lawyers, and politicians should be taken out back and shot.  They're about as useful as...well...useless!

Originally posted by ZDPhoenix

Mark my words, that analyst should get canned.

No way SWTOR will keep that kind of sway; and no way can any analyst truly make professional predictions, when the userbase is still in the *Ooo Shiney* state it's in now.

I absolutely agree. The greatest MMO ever made wouldn't have a retention rate of more than 30% in the first month. And SWTOR is not the greatest MMO ever,