since this thread is full of opinions, ill share mine...

i voted for swtor just because it wont have innovation... all the same again with sci fi disguise.... and i wild guess WoW would go f2p only if their sub base drops down below 1  million players.... and thats far from happening.....

rift was claimed by ppl that it was gonna steal lots of wow subs,.... and wow is still kicking butts like a pro... so i doubt swtor will have a big impact on wows playerbase...

just my opinion here

I voted all, the room for P2P games is getting smaller and smaller and it's only a matter of time before every game is going the F2P "Cash Shop" route.

Originally posted by Sagasaint

without a doubt, WAR will bethe  first to cave in

 You sir are prob most accurate. With WoW in close  second followed by Aion then Rift then SWTOR. I think EQ2X is going about thier item shop better than AoC. As always the market will follow SOEs model. Hell F2P were considered failures until Free Realms. lol, F2P is the new AAA.

This poll is bias against ToR, Rift, and WoW purely the OP does not like any of three and wishes to push his opinion on others. There are other MMOs coming out about the same time or after ToR, yet they are not listed in the OP's poll. TERA, PRIME, ArchAge, TSW, WaR, MO, Darkfall, Final Fantasy 14 and numberous other titles have the potential to become free 2 play. All of the upcoming titles have the potential to flop as well, yet they are not apart of the OP's poll. I don't include GW2 because it is not sub based, but it does have the potential to flop as well. I therefore dismiss the OP's poll as a troll at best.

UO, EQ, DAoC, WAR, MO, DF, EVE, Perp., FFXI, and I know I'm prob missing 1-2 more that would have to fall first before any of the three you listed would realistically be in jeopardy.

Though, just like SWG, I can easily see UO/MO/DF/DAoC just getting shut down if they each don't have the independant earnings to justify the development costs to make the switch.

WoW is still very profitable. It can hemmorage more monthly subs that most of those listed games have current, active playerbases, and still hold the #1 spot by like a 7mil margin over Aion (citing the jun.'11 update on that mmogdata chart).

SW:ToR is a Star Wars game many more Star Wars fans are interested in playing than ever were going to play SWG, and Star Wars is still a strong enough franchise to pull a good healthy living out of things.

Rift, I mean, they're doing so terrible they just had to announce details of their 4th major content patch and unveil their big multi-platform/includes a TV show tie-in project being developed with sci-fi channel. Oh wait, thats not doing terrible at all...

Nexon stated they only made 46.62 million from US players last year.  I think they are considered the highest revenue maker in the US under the P2W payment model.

Comparing to subscription :

~260k subscribers @ $15/month  

~389k subscribers @ $10/month

WOW will never be P2W unless blizzard decides they want to push a new game.

Rift is already making almost 2x what the best P2W game is making.  I don't see them switching unless they take a huge subscription hit.

SWTOR, I doubt it will switch in 1-2 years, but it's game design is very similar to DDO.   It might make sense to switch over after the intial rush of customers.