I think it is possible for Star Trek to do well for 3 months like all the other MMO's in the last couple of years.  Gamers are craving something different and new.  STO will sell a lot of copies but I think it will follow the WAR model and crash and burn within a few months.

Other than Final Fantasy which will be a big hit world wide, the rest of 2010 will look like 2008-09 lots of hyped games that fall flat and do not sustain subs beyond 3 months.

APB has a small chance because it is something different although it is possible that the pricing scheme they are going to use may undermine it.  P2P is something risky in the US for a MMO.

I think Blizzard is starting to lose its god status with what they are doing with Starcraft, the changes to battlenet, the complete dumbing down of WoW to the point it is is almost like they are going for the hello kitty market. They have millions of fans but they are all building a very large hate following as well with what they have done and what they are going to do.   Cataclysm will not do as well as WolK.  

The funny thing about time-traveling in Trek is that some of the best episodes and movies usually come out of the overused mechanism - that's why they keep using it.  And it served Scott well here too - a good read.

Now if we could only get some of these forum posters to take a trip through the atavacron....

I have seen the future and it is bleak...and the world plunges into the Dark Ages Parte Deux.     :(

Good and interesting read.  I still think a relatively unknown title which was not mentioned will come out on top next year, but it's merely a personal opinion. 

I have little faith in hyped games due to the 2009 disasters I might add.  So my outlook on Star Trek, Star Wars, and others is currently negative.  Start out negative is my new perspective instead of positive and overhyped.

Originally posted by dannydeuce

Good and interesting read.  I still think a relatively unknown title which was not mentioned will come out on top next year, but it's merely a personal opinion. 

I have little faith in hyped games due to the 2009 disasters I might add.  So my outlook on Star Trek, Star Wars, and others is currently negative.  Start out negative is my new perspective instead of positive and overhyped.

 

Yes I agree start out negative, and hope that they prove me wrong.  Thats where I am at with STO,  not sure about tor.

If Linden sells Second Life to SOE, I'll be emailing you directly for stock tips and investment advice. 

Great article!

What? No Guild Wars 2 beta?

Nice article.. Do hope things will become better in 2010 in terms of gaming. to many to watch out for. ^^

World of Darkness Online will, if nothing else, give Peter Murphy some work for the soundtrack.

Outstanding! 

Originally posted by geldonyetich

Final Fantasy comes to consoles, yet again

We'll definitely be seeing a Square-Enix MMORPG soon, although not necessarily Final Fantasy.

SE has already announced FFX!V as their next MMO.

I have saved a copy of this article and I am going to laugh at the end of next year when I read it again and see how it fails to compare with what will actually happen.  The only piece of this article I somewhat agree with is the Cataclysm release and that is because no matter how many high-end raids are created and implemented, it will never be enough in the eyes of those who actually do the high-end raids.  Yet they will keep playing anyways, as they always do.  "Analysts" (I use the term loosely) have been asking the question, "Has the MMO market reached it's peak?" for the last two years now.  The answer is simply no.  As long is there is internet and gaming, there will always be a strong market for online gaming.

The most amazing thing about this post is that some one will eventually quote it as cold hard fact.

* Jumpgate: Evolution, which released in June to little fanfare and about 100,000 subscribers*
 

Did I miss somthing? JGE was never released!

Originally posted by bamdorf

Originally posted by Nikopol

Originally posted by MMO_Doubter

Originally posted by odinsassassi

I am a huge  Star Trek Fan and i am looking forward to this game alot. SO stop generalising people just because you don't like it.

Then stop generalizing just because you do like it.

It works both ways.

This is a gaming forum. Speculation is a big part of that.

 

Nah, doesn't work, Doubter. It's you who did the generalizing on this one, not he. Come on, now, put some effort into it, you don't wanna start the new year with lazy cynicism! :)

 

 

Fortunately the opinions posted on these forums don't have much to do with the response of the marketplace, so relax already.

I wonder what the posts in this forum would look like in eary 1999....course wouldn't have happened, since there UO was the only "mmo" online and EQ was entering beta, but I can just see the venom towards the idea that someone would charge A MONTHLY FEE for an online game...!!

 

Meridian 59 and Neverwinter Nights on AOL were already out and charging monthly fees ( hourly fees in the case of Neverwinter Nights ) before UO even came out. I still remember the mix of shock and anger on my father's face when the $100+ phone bill came in with my NWN charges.

I think a good deal of these predictions are a lot closer than most people would like to believe.

One thing I didn't notice though, no info on WoD MMO, 38 Studios MMO, or the salivating MMO in the works from "dream-team" style developers Carbine Studios.

I really doubt that STO will do as well as half a million.  The folks who jump from game to game might pick it up for a while, but the people who think Star Trek is too nerdy will shy away, and the hardcore Star Trek fans will shy away because it's too action-y.  Old Republic and FF14 are going to be the big names.

Hey...what about Rise of the Godslayer...

Originally posted by Archeminos

Originally posted by geldonyetich

Originally posted by Ozmodan

Originally posted by Nacon4

Originally posted by demonic87

Originally posted by brostyn

Look, I-phones that are able to time travel I can wrap my mind around. STO having 500,000 subscribers? BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA! <gasp> <deep breath> HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA.

 

Talk about fantasy land...

 

I hope he meant 50,000.

 Maybe he really did mean 500,000.  There are enough hardcore Trekkies out there to make it real.  Now if they could only get some more servers....

Any hard core trekkie will litterally run from this game, it is so unstartrek.  Unfortunately many will be stupid and buy the game, but the population will drop like a rock once people understand how bad the game is. 

It was a good read Scott, but you blew it with the Star Trek spiel, I think your crystal ball has a crack in it.

You seem awfully certain.  Should we presume, then, that you have a crystal ball of perfect functionality?

 

Don't you know? Forum Trolls are completely immune to logic.

Actually his assumption was based on logic, unlike yours. Its very ironic to call him a troll.

I agree that STO has nothing to do with the idea behind the TV series. Anyone who loves the series for exploring the unknown, curiousity about new species, will be seriously disappointed. With the missions dictating your options, it even takes out freedom of choice, which also is an important factor in those series.

But yeah, I guess some people will find the star trek uniforms and spaceships enough.

what gaming news has Richard Garriott been in lately? im just hearing all the space stuff he's doing

* Jumpgate: Evolution, which released in June to little fanfare and about 100,000 subscribers*
 

Did I miss somthing? JGE was never released! Has anyone any info on this?
 

Originally posted by Morden

* Jumpgate: Evolution, which released in June to little fanfare and about 100,000 subscribers*
 

 

Did I miss somthing? JGE was never released! Has anyone any info on this?
 

You missed the fact that the article is ficticious look at the future. (as if it were really Dec 2010 right now)