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Darkfall

Darkfall 

General Discussion  » this game is going to get about 100 pre orders

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39 posts found
  thinktank001

Advanced Member

Joined: 12/13/08
Posts: 1191

2/16/09 11:35:22 AM#21

I think the number of servers that aventurine plans to use at launch is more important discussion.  If they stick by numbers they had stated earlier 10k max concurrent users per server, and I would guess there will be 5 at max.  I wouldn't expect Aventurine handing out more than 20k preorders, and 40k subscriptions at launch. 

 

I'm in agreement that the poll is probably over estimating the % of people that will preorder. 

  Valhama

Novice Member

Joined: 1/24/09
Posts: 164

If your life is not a daring adventure every day, you''re not truly living at all.

2/16/09 11:55:06 AM#22

Tasos clearly stated they would lift the NDA before, or when, they officially start taking preorders, so the poll is invalid.

  Darkstar111

Apprentice Member

Joined: 2/09/09
Posts: 683

2/16/09 1:15:53 PM#23
Originally posted by noij
Originally posted by Darkstar111

It doesnt matter whether its 200 thousand or not, however many people are actually involved the logic applies.

I think the numbers of independandt ppl who check the site is around 80 thousand, so 50% of eighty is 40 thousand, and thats WITH THE NDA IN PLACE!

Which is in and of itself a ridiculous assumption to make, with a lifted NDA the number will obviously be higher.

 -Darkstar

 

The game will not get anymore than around 5,000 pre orders (if they are lucky).

Dark and Light only managed to get 10,000 or so pre orders and it was ridiculously hyped and even promoted by Farlan at E3 events.

And it was the exact same type of game Darkfall is ... and never had an open Beta either...

 

 

So ur estimate just went up 50x times in a few posts.

No idea about Dark and Light as I never even heard of that game till after it had failed, but reading up on it didn't they sell out their Pioneer pre-orders entirely ?

 

-Darkstar

 

 

  downtoearth

Novice Member

Joined: 2/26/08
Posts: 3704

2/16/09 3:18:24 PM#24
Originally posted by Darkstar111
Originally posted by noij

even the pre order polls on the official forums are looking terrible

forums.darkfallonline.com/showthread.php

 

The question here is IF they release preorder with NDA still in effect will u then preorder the game.

 

The idea that they will do that is ridiculous, but even so almost 50% of the ppl asked said they would preorder.

If that poll represents the average person interested in the game (and no reason why it shouldnt) that means that of the 200 thousand people who applied for Beta almost 50% of them would preorder EVEN IF THE NDA WAS STILL IN PLACE.

So in other words even under such an unlikely scenario Aventurine would still get 100 thousand preorders.

 

1. Think first.

2. post second.

simple little dogma that works well as long as u dont screw up the numerical order.

 

 

-Darkstar

 

 

in the interview tasos said nda will be dropped before pre orders

  downtoearth

Novice Member

Joined: 2/26/08
Posts: 3704

2/16/09 3:20:38 PM#25
Originally posted by Zorvan
Originally posted by Darkstar111
Originally posted by noij

even the pre order polls on the official forums are looking terrible

forums.darkfallonline.com/showthread.php

 

The question here is IF they release preorder with NDA still in effect will u then preorder the game.

 

The idea that they will do that is ridiculous, but even so almost 50% of the ppl asked said they would preorder.

If that poll represents the average person interested in the game (and no reason why it shouldnt) that means that of the 200 thousand people who applied for Beta almost 50% of them would preorder EVEN IF THE NDA WAS STILL IN PLACE.

So in other words even under such an unlikely scenario Aventurine would still get 100 thousand preorders.

 

1. Think first.

2. post second.

simple little dogma that works well as long as u dont screw up the numerical order.

 

 

-Darkstar

 

 


 

Nice chunk of change to run with.

why run they have a mmo thats failry feature complete that actully works >< needs improvemeants to several mechanics but meh it works

  downtoearth

Novice Member

Joined: 2/26/08
Posts: 3704

2/16/09 3:21:38 PM#26
Originally posted by thinktank001

I think the number of servers that aventurine plans to use at launch is more important discussion.  If they stick by numbers they had stated earlier 10k max concurrent users per server, and I would guess there will be 5 at max.  I wouldn't expect Aventurine handing out more than 20k preorders, and 40k subscriptions at launch. 

 

I'm in agreement that the poll is probably over estimating the % of people that will preorder. 

i think they can get 2 serevrs up but not sure

  Darkstar111

Apprentice Member

Joined: 2/09/09
Posts: 683

2/16/09 3:36:46 PM#27

 My guess is they have one server.

 

Thats all they can afford atm, and they are all working on that one.

One server can hold 10 thousand concurrent players, which means they can have up to 50 thousand accounts on it.

I know it sounds wild, but statistics prove it.

 

What it does mean however is that 50 thousand people at launch would not work, which, im guessing, is why they are talking about a staged release.

 

Take in 5 thousand players, wait a day, take in another 5 thousand and so on, that would be one way to handle the issue using a release in stages.

 

Then when one server is full they will have the capital to open another server and so on and so on.

 

I know it sucks for us because it means most of us will not be able to play the first day, but oh well, as long as I get into the game, a day or two isn't going to make a big difference in terms og being competitive.

 

 

-Darkstar

 

 

 

 

  Smikis

Hard Core Member

Joined: 11/27/04
Posts: 884

2/16/09 3:44:08 PM#28
Originally posted by peteski123
Originally posted by noij

even the pre order polls on the official forums are looking terrible

forums.darkfallonline.com/showthread.php


 

Stupid thread,

Didnt 200,000 people want to get in on beta and you are giving us a poll of less than 400?

Thats like asking next door a question and taking that answer as the Towns general answer.

Please dont post anymore, thanks

 

200k looks terribly low for something thats free and new

  loxleynew

Novice Member

Joined: 7/22/08
Posts: 271

2/16/09 3:57:30 PM#29
Originally posted by Smikis
Originally posted by peteski123
Originally posted by noij

even the pre order polls on the official forums are looking terrible

forums.darkfallonline.com/showthread.php


 

Stupid thread,

Didnt 200,000 people want to get in on beta and you are giving us a poll of less than 400?

Thats like asking next door a question and taking that answer as the Towns general answer.

Please dont post anymore, thanks

 

200k looks terribly low for something thats free and new

 

It wont be 200k. They have said numerous times that they are limiting sales because they cannot handle that many people. I would say more around 100k max.

  downtoearth

Novice Member

Joined: 2/26/08
Posts: 3704

2/16/09 4:07:46 PM#30
Originally posted by loxleynew
Originally posted by Smikis
Originally posted by peteski123
Originally posted by noij

even the pre order polls on the official forums are looking terrible

forums.darkfallonline.com/showthread.php


 

Stupid thread,

Didnt 200,000 people want to get in on beta and you are giving us a poll of less than 400?

Thats like asking next door a question and taking that answer as the Towns general answer.

Please dont post anymore, thanks

 

200k looks terribly low for something thats free and new

 

It wont be 200k. They have said numerous times that they are limiting sales because they cannot handle that many people. I would say more around 100k max.

actully they said they cant handle the over 200k people for an open beta

  vknid

Spotlight Blogger

Joined: 5/26/04
Posts: 160

2/16/09 4:33:39 PM#31

when people say things like.. " yes I will buy it.. I will still get it because even if I don't like it/can't play it.. I wont be out that much money.." or "its only money, big deal" ...etc

That's what companies BANK on. They LOVE YOU for that. I am willing to bet that's why there will be a lot of no name company's will come out just to find people like them, and make a crappy game.

30 to 50 bucks for a game.. not a big deal? but if enough people think "big deal" and pay for a crappy game.. that's still a ton of money to them =P best case scenario for them.. they break even.. then just go make another crappy game

 

 

 

 

  winter

Apprentice Member

Joined: 8/08/03
Posts: 1359

2/17/09 1:30:23 AM#32
Originally posted by downtoearth
Originally posted by Darkstar111

 

The question here is IF they release preorder with NDA still in effect will u then preorder the game.

 

The idea that they will do that is ridiculous, but even so almost 50% of the ppl asked said they would preorder.

If that poll represents the average person interested in the game (and no reason why it shouldnt) that means that of the 200 thousand people who applied for Beta almost 50% of them would preorder EVEN IF THE NDA WAS STILL IN PLACE.

So in other words even under such an unlikely scenario Aventurine would still get 100 thousand preorders.

 

1. Think first.

2. post second.

simple little dogma that works well as long as u dont screw up the numerical order.

 

 

-Darkstar

 

 

in the interview tasos said nda will be dropped before pre orders


 

 Has Tasos actually said anything yet about Darkfall that has been proven true? Lets see, Release in 2008, Release Jann 22nd, "we won't set a release date that we can't keep". Darkfall has been fully tested by AI bot and paid beta testers it doesn't need a long beta test. Darkfall is feature complete and more ready for release then any other MMO out (posted what late Nov, early Dec?) We won't take pre-orders. Everyone will get a chance to try the game before buying it etc etc.

 I find it funny you still believe so much in what Tasos says when he's proven time and time again he's inept or clueless and IMHO is doing more harm to DF then good. (kinda like some of the fans that keep repeating his words like they are fact rather then just plan poorly done PR)

  winter

Apprentice Member

Joined: 8/08/03
Posts: 1359

2/17/09 1:38:29 AM#33
Originally posted by downtoearth
Originally posted by loxleynew

 

It wont be 200k. They have said numerous times that they are limiting sales because they cannot handle that many people. I would say more around 100k max.

actully they said they cant handle the over 200k people for an open beta


 

 So when are they gonna have this open beta? I'd guess so far they haven't gotten to 20K for their closed (by invite only, under NDA) beta. As with Darkstar, I'm guessing they only have 1 server going. If they try and cram 100K people on a 10K server in the first month its gonna be a nightmare. 

  hercules

Advanced Member

Joined: 4/21/03
Posts: 4633

2/17/09 2:53:56 AM#34

Faith sells.Be it in a church claiming to heal all or a mmorpg which promises the moon or a company promising 1000% return on your money.

So darkfall will sell plenty of pre orders.After all did D&L not sell all its pre order keys?Did roma victor not do the same?what about shadowbane?

But i been burnt too many times by small indie companies to even touch a pre order from them.And the way Darkfall has been going i see the exact same pattern i saw in shadowbane,D&L and roma victor.And te delay in lifting the NDA is exact pattern of all the other indie games that have come and fallen.

But i  have to say  it will sell at least 10k pre orders because faith sells.And here is a mmorpg saying "oh if u do not start early u might have a disadvantage in pvp".Thats a strong selling line for pre ordering and buying it right at start.

Its only $50 right?Well i given my $50 to too many indie games over the years and its no longer only $50 but 50 x 4 or 5 =over $200.

I think i hold back and watch on this one.

  Darkstar111

Apprentice Member

Joined: 2/09/09
Posts: 683

2/17/09 4:50:02 AM#35
Originally posted by winter
Originally posted by downtoearth
Originally posted by Darkstar111

 

The question here is IF they release preorder with NDA still in effect will u then preorder the game.

 

The idea that they will do that is ridiculous, but even so almost 50% of the ppl asked said they would preorder.

If that poll represents the average person interested in the game (and no reason why it shouldnt) that means that of the 200 thousand people who applied for Beta almost 50% of them would preorder EVEN IF THE NDA WAS STILL IN PLACE.

So in other words even under such an unlikely scenario Aventurine would still get 100 thousand preorders.

 

1. Think first.

2. post second.

simple little dogma that works well as long as u dont screw up the numerical order.

 

 

-Darkstar

 

 

in the interview tasos said nda will be dropped before pre orders


 

 Has Tasos actually said anything yet about Darkfall that has been proven true? Lets see, Release in 2008, Release Jann 22nd, "we won't set a release date that we can't keep". Darkfall has been fully tested by AI bot and paid beta testers it doesn't need a long beta test. Darkfall is feature complete and more ready for release then any other MMO out (posted what late Nov, early Dec?) We won't take pre-orders. Everyone will get a chance to try the game before buying it etc etc.

 I find it funny you still believe so much in what Tasos says when he's proven time and time again he's inept or clueless and IMHO is doing more harm to DF then good. (kinda like some of the fans that keep repeating his words like they are fact rather then just plan poorly done PR)

 

 

Nobody cares what Tasos says.

Stop insinuating that a person hopeful of this amazing game is any less critical about Tasos.

U are not special, ur sense of critique is not unique.

 

Tasos should not be the commiunity rep, unfortunetly they cant afford one.

 

But that has nothing to do with the facts of the game, and those facts are evident in the many leaks spread over the net.

 

The game is good, ppl that play it like it, the rest is irrelevant.

 

-Darkstar

 

 

  ILty-Cat

Novice Member

Joined: 2/01/09
Posts: 40

"Only dumb people that want to stay dumb say "shut up"'

2/17/09 5:17:56 AM#36
Originally posted by Darkstar111
Originally posted by noij

even the pre order polls on the official forums are looking terrible

forums.darkfallonline.com/showthread.php

 

The question here is IF they release preorder with NDA still in effect will u then preorder the game.

 

The idea that they will do that is ridiculous, but even so almost 50% of the ppl asked said they would preorder.

If that poll represents the average person interested in the game (and no reason why it shouldnt) that means that of the 200 thousand people who applied for Beta almost 50% of them would preorder EVEN IF THE NDA WAS STILL IN PLACE.

So in other words even under such an unlikely scenario Aventurine would still get 100 thousand preorders.

 

1. Think first.

2. post second.

simple little dogma that works well as long as u dont screw up the numerical order.

 

 

-Darkstar

 

 

 

I think that half of those people said eff this because of the fees ..: )

Taco is like a foreign banker. Always ringing in the fees.

I'm surprised there isn't a fee to log into the Darkfall forum.

 

I'd like to not that that forum is FULL of darkfall fanbois. Only that much voted yes to getting pre-orders?

You can't use the excuse "Not enough people voted" because it's a fanboy beehive.

I doubt that between fees for fees and the NDA still in effect that that many people will pre-order.

 

This game is going down hill fast.

Brace for impact.

Can't we just all get along? >D

/\*. "Pew Pew"
| | `.
| | *>|o

Darkfall = Epic fail.

  Darkstar111

Apprentice Member

Joined: 2/09/09
Posts: 683

2/17/09 5:31:01 AM#37
Originally posted by ILty-Cat
Originally posted by Darkstar111
Originally posted by noij

even the pre order polls on the official forums are looking terrible

forums.darkfallonline.com/showthread.php

 

The question here is IF they release preorder with NDA still in effect will u then preorder the game.

 

The idea that they will do that is ridiculous, but even so almost 50% of the ppl asked said they would preorder.

If that poll represents the average person interested in the game (and no reason why it shouldnt) that means that of the 200 thousand people who applied for Beta almost 50% of them would preorder EVEN IF THE NDA WAS STILL IN PLACE.

So in other words even under such an unlikely scenario Aventurine would still get 100 thousand preorders.

 

1. Think first.

2. post second.

simple little dogma that works well as long as u dont screw up the numerical order.

 

 

-Darkstar

 

 

 

I think that half of those people said eff this because of the fees ..: )

Taco is like a foreign banker. Always ringing in the fees.

I'm surprised there isn't a fee to log into the Darkfall forum.

 

I'd like to not that that forum is FULL of darkfall fanbois. Only that much voted yes to getting pre-orders?

You can't use the excuse "Not enough people voted" because it's a fanboy beehive.

I doubt that between fees for fees and the NDA still in effect that that many people will pre-order.

 

This game is going down hill fast.

Brace for impact.

 

And I never did, and no its not.

 

-Darkstar

 

  n0ij

Novice Member

Joined: 2/17/09
Posts: 24

2/17/09 5:52:06 AM#38
Originally posted by Darkstar111

 

No idea about Dark and Light as I never even heard of that game till after it had failed, but reading up on it didn't they sell out their Pioneer pre-orders entirely ?

-Darkstar


 

Ya they sold the pioneer pre order thing.. but only about 10,000 worth... they kept taking more after so it was probably a few thousand more...

And that was before everyone got burned...  Darkfall is going to have an even harder time. It's like a carbon copy of DnL..  they are taking pre orders... No public Beta... limited people in a closed beta... no real info...

5k tops

 

  hercules

Advanced Member

Joined: 4/21/03
Posts: 4633

2/17/09 3:54:57 PM#39

caution.its your money but remember dnl and roma victor

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