I'm curious when the community thinks WoW will die. I hear more and more everyday about how boring WoW is getting. I haven't played since about a month before Wrath came out, but a ton of my buddies and I quit because there was nothing to do and Wrath didn't bring anything worthwhile. I hear Blizzard is sitting at 11+ million subscribers, good for them, but eventually it will come to an end. When do you think that will be?

Edit: For some reason I can't edit the poll options. I hit enter prematurely and can't fix the choices.

For WoW to die it must first live grasshopper!

WoW will still be there in 10 years. Everquest has been there for 10 years and it had a fraction of the playerbase when it was at it's peak. Ultima Online still exist. Successful MMORPGS are hard to kill. You just have to look at the current market. I even think Meridian59 is still around.

One day waaaaay off in the future when WoW becomes obsolete it will still exist. There will be less servers and less manpower working on it but it will be around.

If you are going to invest your time and money in a MMORPG. WoW is future proof.

Sorry to dissapoint.

Chalk me up for the option "Never to Not for a long time".

I hate it when I "enter" to soon too, makes the wife upset everytime I post.

well WOW may die but i think they will make another Warcraft game with all updated features and graphics.  the brand is too popular and profitable not to do it. 

You didn't leave us many options there...

I honestly don't think the game will die for a very long time. I'm talking 5+ years at least. The game has a following stronger than any other MMORPG in history and some of the very first MMOs are still around (ie UO and EQ).

If Blizzard continues to release tons of quality content (as they have throughout WOW's existence), the game will only grow better and more polished with time.

Who knows...  in 10 years from now, we may still be looking for the WOW killer.

Originally posted by Anubisan

You didn't leave us many options there...

I honestly don't think the game will die for a very long time. I'm talking 5+ years at least. The game has a following stronger than any other MMORPG in history and some of the very first MMOs are still around (ie UO and EQ).

If Blizzard continues to release tons of quality content (as they have throughout WOW's existence), the game will only grow better and more polished with time.

Who knows...  in 10 years from now, we may still be looking for the WOW killer.

Like I said, I can't fix the poll so just forget about it and I certainly hope we aren't looking for the WoW killer in 10 years.

OK, maybe when I mean "die," when do you think WoWs' subscirber numbers will be around AoCs numbers. Basically, when do you think that most of WoWs community will quit and they'll only be left with 5%-ish of their subscribers.

It won't die off completely for some time, but I believe within the next year this game will lose a massive amount of subscriptions because of Wrath

It won't die until Blizzard releases another MMO.

And when I say die, I mean lose most of it's playerbase. Not get closed down.

I think it's safe to say that WoW will still have a strong following 10 years from now.  That doesn't mean that you will be playing it, or that your friends will still be playing - but there will still be a strong healthy population playing it (even if it's at a lower population level than the current one).  And if you look further down the road, even if they stopped development today, I have no doubt there would still be an active community of people 15-20 years from now playing it (perhaps even running it on their own servers).  Heck, people still play Ultima Online which is 12 years old - and it has far less content.  At this point, there seems little chance WoW would completely die even within the next 20 years, it will just be a matter of how popular it is.

As a side note, some of the interviews with WoW developers have even indicated a shift in planning at Blizzard.  Early on they hoped WoW would do well, and maybe thought about it being around for a few years.  At some point they realized it turned into something that could easily be around a decade or longer and started adjusting their development planning as a result.

I agree that WoW will be around for a long time.

I really am not a fan of the game but it does have a very large community, many of which is in Asia and they dont give up on games quickly. Lineage, Lineage 2 and FFXI still have pretty big populations in Asia alone.

Another thing about WoW, with the graphics they decided to use i dont think the game is going to look overly dated 5 years down the road. By going Cartoony i think it is going to hold up longer then the games that try to look more realistic.

Warcraft 3 is almost 7 years old and still in the top 10(!) of most played daily western PC games. Diablo is even 9 years old and is getting played

These games only had a fraction of Wow's public and weren't "the worlds we live in" through the internet.

WotLK is only just beginning with the new content patch coming within a month.

Since I know the success of these content cycles in the past, rest assured the coming 18 months are filled with "the road to get that "ultimate" legendary "Frostmourne" sword and armor of Arthas...

Patch 2.2 (Black Temple), 2.3 and 2.4 (Sunwell) had the same effect as the expansion packs themselves. Everyone wants to get in. Just look at the winter of 2007/2008 where no expansion pack was launched, only patch 2.3 and you get the picture of those "cycles" based on resetting new raids/dungeons and PvP gear.

How long could these cycles go on?

As long as the competition is nowhere near this standard of polished "flying over", "fighting over" and "dungeon crawling" gaming.

SC2 will certainly not kill it, as it is a complete different kind of game. I also wonder where Diablo3 will land in 2010 as Wow already made D2 redundant.

These cycles will remain until the new MMORPG from Blizzard. I am pretty sure all other MMO's will fail till then. Yes that includes the efforts of EA's Bioware. The rest will be  a side shows of 200K subs.

So my guess: 2015/2016 after which Wow2 will launch.

Originally posted by Zorndorf

Warcraft 3 is almost 7 years old and still in the top 10(!) of most played daily western PC games. Diablo is even 9 years old and is getting played

These games only had a fraction of Wow's public and weren't "the worlds we live in" through the internet.

WotLK is only just beginning with the new content patch coming within a month.

Since I know the success of these content cycles in the past, rest assured the coming 18 months are filled with "the road to get that "ultimate" legendary "Frostmourne" sword and armor of Arthas...

Patch 2.2 (Black Temple), 2.3 and 2.4 (Sunwell) had the same effect as the expansion packs themselves. Everyone wants to get in. Just look at the winter of 2007/2008 where no expansion pack was launched, only patch 2.3 and you get the picture of those "cycles" based on resetting new raids/dungeons and PvP gear.

How long could these cycles go on?

As long as the competition is nowhere near this standard of polished "flying over", "fighting over" and "dungeon crawling" gaming.

SC2 will certainly not kill it, as it is a complete different kind of game. I also wonder where Diablo3 will land in 2010 as Wow already made D2 redundant.

These cycles will remain until the new MMORPG from Blizzard. I am pretty sure all other MMO's will fail till then. Yes that includes the efforts of EA's Bioware. The rest will be  a side shows of 200K subs.

So my guess: 2015/2016 after which Wow2 will launch.

 

All arguments aside for a second Zorn, to be honest repeating the success of your first mmo hit is not a trick anyone has found easy. Even if  WoW was working on a release 6 years from now, the idea that the world is just gonna wait in the expansion to an 11 to 12 year old game is daydreaming. As for repeating success EQ2 wasnt bad, but in no way got the attention the original did, not to mention many who escape the current WoW trap may not want to try it again. Whos gonna be head Dev? Chilton again>? no thx.

I firmly believe that WoW will end up like EQ, it'll be around for a long long time. I doubt bliz will end WoW untill it stops being the huge ass money fount that it is now.

Deja vu thread of the week? (or the "I got bored so the game is bound to die soon(tm)")

The dead horse got beaten so much, we can't tell if it's a horse any more.

Originally posted by Ant1fr33z3

I'm curious when the community thinks WoW will die. I hear more and more everyday about how boring WoW is getting. I haven't played since about a month before Wrath came out, but a ton of my buddies and I quit because there was nothing to do and Wrath didn't bring anything worthwhile. I hear Blizzard is sitting at 11+ million subscribers, good for them, but eventually it will come to an end. When do you think that will be?

Edit: For some reason I can't edit the poll options. I hit enter prematurely and can't fix the choices.

If you really want a good pool you should make it better, for example:

Less than 1 year

1 - 2 years

2 - 5 years

5 - 10 years

10 - 15 years

By the way, WoW will not die in 1 or 2 or 3 years, but the truth is, the more time pass, the faster the WoW engine gets outdated. Having an "easy to run" engine is a feature, WoW has it right now, but having an outdated engine is a problem, and WoW will have it in 5 yeras for sure, if not sooner. Once the game gets outdated it will start to die. But as of today, there are a lot of dieing mmorpgs out there, so, My guess is around 10 years or little less.

Originally posted by Mwaji

All arguments aside for a second Zorn, to be honest repeating the success of your first mmo hit is not a trick anyone has found easy. Even if  WoW was working on a release 6 years from now, the idea that the world is just gonna wait in the expansion to an 11 to 12 year old game is daydreaming. As for repeating success EQ2 wasnt bad, but in no way got the attention the original did, not to mention many who escape the current WoW trap may not want to try it again. Whos gonna be head Dev? Chilton again>? no thx.

Hey, for once - just once be assured - we could agree.

It will not be an easy feat to do. But I think you misunderstood my reasoning.

In 2009 Blizz will probably launch SC2 (not a real competition to the Wow subs), in 2010 ... D3 (and I have doubts just how they will implement it - because like I said Wow made 95% of the D2 features already redundant - only the solo dungeon crawling could be added) and the next mmorpg of Blizzard is not Wow2 of course.

There is somewhere a second mmorpg in the making (launches 2011/2012?) and since it is being confirmed as having a new IP, I would bet for something different from Wow. Is it a space game? A hardcore game? I don't know.

Up until that time (2012) Wow will be the main riding horse. IF that new MMORPG would be a succes they could let Wow having an easy "rest" for some years after which Wow2 will certainly come in 2015 with a jump in time.

That last one should be in accordance with all their previous game settings btw. It is Metzen btw who coordinates these lores. Chilton is but a technician.

As for Blizzard: every game stands for commercial success in the past 16 years. It is time for a failure ... once

Blizzard will no doubt make a new mmo to replace WoW (probably based on the warcraft series again) but there will come a point when they will run out of ideas, patches will stop and WoW will die. it will still be around, no doubt about it, but there will be no more upgrades, no more patches, hardly any customer support, and a fraction of the player base. when this will happen, I don't know but remember that technology is always moving on, and soon you won't be able to play the original WoW on any mainstream computer. we'll just have to see what happens in the future
 

Tuesday the 5th, June, 2011 at 6:31pm just after dinner, at a guess!

When will WOW die? Hmmmm When I dont have a Job anymore...

Maybe it will wane temporarily when diablo 3 comes out in 2012 or whenever.  But it's a mostly single player game so it won't last long.  So really not until blizzard's next mmo like a long long time from now.

sometime in 2012 along with the rest of the world.:D they're making a movie about it!

If blizzards makes a WoW killed (not going to happen) or if the way we game changes (10-20 years). Till then the game will survive. Even UO is still around.

Well if you look at the latest Activision-Blizzard news about release dates and plans, the following schedule is probably pretty accurate:

2009 - Starcraft 2

2010 - Next WOW expansion

2011 - Diablo 3 (unless the expansion doesn't count as a major release according to A-B)

Figuring that, WOW has a while left in terms of content. I personally think there will be 3 more major expansions to WOW (maybe 4) so it has a while left.

In addition, think about how well Warcraft 2 and 3 are still doing, players on Battle.net and such and there is a major fanbase for the Warcraft universe. I think WOW will be like EQ and be around a long time.