Age of Conan

i wonder. How many subscribers will AOC have? Please give your educated guess ( please try to be realistic and also specify at what phase you are referring - at start, a year ahead, 2 years etc). Does any has real numbers from other games, so we can compare?

300-400,000 initially

how many wow had at first?

plenty

Originally posted by grimland

how many wow had at first?

Initial sales don't matter.

What matters is how many CONCURRENT subscribers AoC has in six months, twelve months, 18 months, 24 months, etc.

If you have 500,000 out the gate but come October 450,000 of those leave to go play WAR, the 500,000 doesn't matter.  In the MMOG field, what matters is CONCURRENT and SUSTAINED subscribers.

http://www.mmogchart.com/analysis-and-conclusions/

Keep an eye on this webpage.  The do a great job of tracking concurrent subscription numbers for games.

AoC may have gone gold, but the game has no longevity. Leveling is more linear than WoW, it's basically a console game (even past Tortage/lvl20).

Hype and 'promises' from the FC team may have brought them initial sales, but they wont keep the subs unless they have a HUGE HUGE HUGE content patch wtihin the first 2 months.

Originally posted by rmk70

AoC may have gone gold, but the game has no longevity. Leveling is more linear than WoW, it's basically a console game (even past Tortage/lvl20).

 

Hype and 'promises' from the FC team may have brought them initial sales, but they wont keep the subs unless they have a HUGE HUGE HUGE content patch wtihin the first 2 months.

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-Jive

Originally posted by jiveturkey12

 

Originally posted by rmk70

AoC may have gone gold, but the game has no longevity. Leveling is more linear than WoW, it's basically a console game (even past Tortage/lvl20).

 

Hype and 'promises' from the FC team may have brought them initial sales, but they wont keep the subs unless they have a HUGE HUGE HUGE content patch wtihin the first 2 months.

 

 

............

 

...............................

 

.......................

 

 

-Jive

Indeed.

Originally posted by rmk70

Originally posted by jiveturkey12

 

Originally posted by rmk70

AoC may have gone gold, but the game has no longevity. Leveling is more linear than WoW, it's basically a console game (even past Tortage/lvl20).

 

Hype and 'promises' from the FC team may have brought them initial sales, but they wont keep the subs unless they have a HUGE HUGE HUGE content patch wtihin the first 2 months.

 

 

............

 

...............................

 

.......................

 

 

-Jive

Indeed.

I call BS, if indeed this game "has no longevity" tells us your reason why other then a so called opinion from someone who probably is not in beta.... Give us some examples or just continue to troll.

i figure they may have 200k at the initial release rush and i figure after a few months it'll be around 150k which is great for an mmo these days.