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 Thread (33 posts)
bezado  2/11/08 2:28:27 PM

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We Lost

The fact is WAR has a lower system requirement and is WOW like. Many of the WOW community have already said they are moving to WAR and you can't underestimate the many millions of people who currently play low end MMORPG's that can run on their older PC's.

We will probably see AOC get maybe 500k subscribers, perhaps less but WAR on the other hand will get over a million subscribers on the first month of release.  This has everything to do with how good of a PC do you have. We already know WOW can run on a 8year old PC smoothly with a low end AGP video card, and so will WAR at launch. This gives a huge advantage to WAR and also because of what WOW did to path the road for WAR's launch.

Advantage WAR. AOC will struggle with finding that many people who can run the game decently with all that eyecandy turned on. Nobody wants to play a game like AOC on the lowest graphical setting and see how ugly the game will look, a game like AOC needs to have everything looking good or else you take away from the immersion aspect that game creates.  I could run AOC max settings on my 30'' LCD but I prefer WAR over AOC for the simple fact of pure enjoyment of seeing the millions of players that will be playing. More players = better PVP.

So here is the major POLL at which we will revisit after 1month of launch of each title and try and see if any info has been released on numbers yet.

Post your predictions and also use the polls below. Whoever is closer to the subscriber numbers for the 1month period will get nothing from me but perhaps a forum title could be rewarded for the winner???

My guess is 2.5mill War, AOC 500k

Forum Poll

WAR 1month subscribers guess.

500k subscribers after 1month
1million subs after 1month
1.5million subs after 1month
2million subs after 1month
2.5million subs after 1month
3million subs after 1month
3.5million subs after 1month
4million subs after 1month
4.5million subs after 1month
5million subs after 1month
(login to vote)

bezado  2/11/08 2:29:42 PM

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We Lost

AOC poll below

Forum Poll

AOC subscriber numbers after 1month guess

500k subscribers after 1month
1million subs after 1month
1.5million subs after 1month
2million subs after 1month
2.5million subs after 1month
3million subs after 1month
3.5million subs after 1month
4million subs after 1month
4.5million subs after 1month
5million subs after 1month
(login to vote)

Vincenz  2/11/08 2:31:05 PM

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You have an interesting definition of the word "fact".

 
bezado  2/11/08 2:33:39 PM

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We Lost

Originally posted by Vincenz

You have an interesting definition of the word "fact".

Yeah to late to take it out, I wanted to say something else then Fact. Fact being my definitive on WAR being the more popular with the most subscribers. If you look at the history of the last 4 top MMORPG's you see how WOW went from 600k subs at it's first month to over 3mill in a few months. Now that people know what to expect from WAR and how it will run and how similar it is you can only guess they will have a huge advantage over AOC on subscribers in it's first month.

 

Edit: I was able to take that off the title for the thread, I never changed a title word before guess you can

Death1942  2/11/08 2:33:39 PM

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lol 500k subscribers in the first month?  name ONE game that managed that.   500k in 2 or 3 months thats believable but not in 1month

 

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Fion  2/11/08 2:34:30 PM

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We are recruiting.

Yea WAR will have more people playing it simply because it looks, plays and feels very much like WoW.

 

However, AoC will be a FAR better game. Mark my words :)

 

As to numbers, I'm not gonna say which game will get what. But as of right now, I think WAR will get a lot of people at first, but a great many of them will go back to WoW within 2 months.

 

AoC on the other hand will attract players looking for something different, that furthers the genre and has some innovation instead of upcoming MMOGs that are basically carbon copy typical MMOGs just trying to steal WoWs thunder. For that reason AoC will retain a lot more players, though probably the games over-all population won't be as high as WARs.. initially.

 
Hrica  2/11/08 2:34:43 PM

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"Yesterday is history, Tomorrow a mystery, and today is a gift"

"Fact"?  ...what ever

 
bezado  2/11/08 2:35:42 PM

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We Lost

Originally posted by Death1942

lol 500k subscribers in the first month?  name ONE game that managed that.   500k in 2 or 3 months thats believable but not in 1month

 

Yeah thats why it is a guess. AOC is by far one of the most global marketed advanced MMORPG to come out. Look at the European forums, there are some forums with over 2million people visiting them. I think AOC is got a leg up on over hype from day one and so has WAR, this is what I am basing my findings on and WOW did have a impressive 600k subscribers on it's first month if I do recall that press release.

Trenyt  2/11/08 2:36:50 PM